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Here's what's going to happen over the course of the election:

EEE, I'm surprised at you.

I plan to win. Yeah, it's uphill. But we can win this thing. There are several scenarios that could allow it to happen. And there are some intangibles that can really help him.

I do agree that treating RP badly is extremely bad politics for the GOP, something that can poison the party's prospects for decades possibly.

When your party has spent like a drunken sailor and you libel the only small-government candidate in the race and with the ground organization and funding to compete, you are planting seeds of genuine bitterness and you will reap what you've sown. And you will have utterly repudiated your small-government ideology, namely the Reagan-Gingrich philosophy that won Congress for us after 43 years in the minority. This prospect of bitterness is especially true when so many RP supporters are venturing into politics for the first time. Screw those kids over and they won't forget it in coming elections.

And if the GOP thinks that Fear Of Hillary in 2008 is going to work any better than Fear Of Nancy did in 2006, they'd better think again before it's too late. I know we're the Stupid Party but that's just brain-dead. This party needs both some new direction and a return to its roots in liberty and small-government. Continuing this Bushism is a guaranteed loser.

It's a reasonable scenario if Paul doesn't win the primaries. But the best thing is that he's planted the seeds and gave the GOP an ultimatum of sorts.

I also hope Paul wins but he's got his work cut out for him because both the establishment left and right are going after him.