[JamesP81]

How likely does that scenario sound, even if you had never heard of Joseph Smith or Mormons or Brigham Young?

Not very. But to play Mormon's advocate, how likely is it that a guy who claimed to be the son of God be crucified, entombed, and three days later get up and leave? Not very likely, IMO. The discussion isn't about what's likely, but what's the truth.

[steve86]

I knew someone would bring up the resurrection story. Good job!

But there’s a difference. If you believe Jesus is God (we do), the story is completely plausible.