Kean could definitely win, but this will be a difficult race. Ferguson is the 17th House Republican to announce a retirement this year. Ouch.
I understand this guy has young kids at home, but, geez, it's not like Jersey is across the continent from DC. They can live at home and the Congressman can grab a train back to Jersey from Union Station for most weekends. It's not like flying every weekend back to Washington state or California. Of course, it's easy for me to say, I don't have to do it.