[pissant]

It does mention SC. Fred has the lead.

[colorado tanker]

Fred came in too late to do much in Iowa or New Hampshire, where he’s just going through the motions. The whole ball game for him is South Carolina, where he must win to carry any “mo” into huge number of primaries close behind.

[Dr. Sivana]

It does mention SC. Fred has the lead.

My apologies, I only read the excerpt.

Either way, I see significant blocks of delegates being picked up by five candidates (Giuliani, Thompson, Romney, McCain and Huckabee), depending on state rules for delegate allotment. With a 15% threshold, for instance, McCain will probably get some in New Hampshire and Arizona. Giuliani will do well in the despondent Northeast and California. Romney will do well in Mormon states and states with family ties (e.g. Michigan and Mass.)Thompson will do well in the south and okay in the midwest and mountain area. Huckabee will get chunks of delegates from several southern states and maybe more if he surprises in Iowa.

This is a recipe for the late primaries (especially PA) becoming more important, and maybe even a brokered convention.

[DesScorp]

“It does mention SC. Fred has the lead.”

And that state matters far more than Iowa. New Hampshire is utterly meaningless now. 3 out of the last 4 GOP winners in New Hampshire didn’t go on to win the nomination.