Secondly, this is not a percentage of people who say they would vote for candidate X (a poll),
***I agree. Again. It’s a futures market, which by its nature is better as a predictor than polls. It predicted the current Fred troubles in the polls.
yet your posts keep interchanging and conflating these futures prices with polling data.
***Um, I’m done fetching for you so I’m not going to go look up those words to see if their definition applies. It’s your accusation, you back it up.
As I said above, what you are doing is misleading. I can’t tell if it’s intentional, but it is inaccurate and misleading.
***It is not misleading. It is data. Polls are data, futures pricing are data. And as far as inaccurate, now you can back up that contention by going to the Efficacy of Futures thread and proving your point. Until then, you’re just blowing smoke because you’re unhappy with the data.
You and the reader can just keep flipping back up through the thread through this discussion and see.
Futures prices and polls are completely different animals. Do not blur or conflate or compare them.
so great you’re right. it is basically a Rudy Romney race so why are we arguing between Fred and Hunter supporters when we know both won’t get the nomination?
I know why I’m casting my vote for Hunter in NY primary and that is to help give him a shot to be picked for VP or in the cabinet. I don’t have any illusions about his chances of winning the nomination.