The models look a lot like Deans at birth, but they progressively agreed more W after a day or so. Model runs like this are what caused Perry to start evac procedures.
In this case the question is will Felix be able to find a weakness in the rigde of high pressure to its north(thats not quite as strong as the one with dean) and start to turn more NW.. some of the new models suggest that now hence the more north track later on