[SouthTexas]

UKMET sure likes Brownsville!

[CindyDawg]

Yep. Watch this one close.

[NautiNurse]

I wouldn’t rely on model runs from this morning (e.g. UKMET @ 8am). They weren’t initialized with the rapid strengthening occurring this afternoon.

[Robert A Cook PE]

Looking at the various trend lines for the (future) track reminds me of how scattered and random the predictions for AGW temperature trends are over the next 200 years: This is a simple 5 day prediction of hurricanes we have been watching since the Spaniards came to Florida (600 years of storm tracks!) and we STILL cannot tell what way a simple low pressure center will curve in the next five days!

Instead, we are faced with ransom motions for each line, every line coming out in a different direction from computer models based on the same inputs.