Posted on 09/01/2007 6:57:00 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Felix has formed near the South American
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the northern coast of Venezuela from Cumana to Pedernales including the island of Margarita.
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| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Lots of people evacuated inland from the Tampa Bay area for Hurricane Charley. He came ashore south of TB, and clobbered all the people who had evacuated inland. Those of us who stayed near the coast were very lucky in this case. It's a coin toss...
There is a bright light in the sky today.
LOL—is it a search and rescue spotlight, or could it actually be Sol?
That happened in Florida too a few years ago didn’t it? A friend was telling me something about people evacuated to an area the storm turned towards.
Yes, Tampa Bay is in Florida
;o)
A black and white 50’s memory.
LOL, there is indeed. I was just thinking about you, wondering if your area was drying out a bit..
I think that’s called The Eclipse.
I'd say 99L is a little confused!
thanks for Penny’s update
Actually, if you ignore the BAMMs, CLP5 and the current direction Xtrap (very reasonable to do), the others are in remarkable agreement for an undeveloped storm.
You’re welcome. ;-)
Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on September 04, 2007
...Felix continues to weaken as it moves over land...still a major
flood threat...
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the entire coast of
Honduras.
A tropical storm watch is in effect for Belize from Placentia
Village southward to the Guatemala/Belize border.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 500 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Felix was located
near latitude 14.2 north...longitude 85.0 west or about 110 miles...
175 km...west of Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua.
Felix is moving toward the west near 14 mph...22 km/hr...and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On
this track...the center will be moving over Honduras tonight and
early Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph...120
km/hr...with higher gusts. Felix is a category one hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson scale. Rapid weakening is expected as Felix
moves over the mountains of Central America during the next 24
hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles...45 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115
miles...185 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb...28.79 inches.
Felix is expected to produce 8 to 12 inches of rain across northern
Nicaragua and El Salvador...with 10 to 15 inches over much of
Honduras. Isolated maximum amount of 25 inches are possible in
mountainous areas. These rains will likely produce life-
threatening flash floods and mud slides. Persons in flood-prone
areas should take all necessary precautions to protect life and
property.
Repeating the 500 PM EDT position...14.2 N...85.0 W. Movement
toward...west near 14 mph. Maximum sustained winds...75 mph.
Minimum central pressure...975 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 800 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 1100
PM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
What time (EDT) did it hit land again? Those tight storms seem to hold together quite well.
Landfall was before 8AMET. Don’t know exact time. Best I’ve seen was “around dawn.”
Today’s models (including the more reliable globals) seem to want to point towards something as opposed to nothing. The trend is stronger at the moment IMO.
Check out the 18z NAM (likely wrong, but...)
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/nam/18/images/nam_slp_084s.gif
I am starting to strongly believe something decent forms out there, the question is does it come ashore or manage to just scare?
If it gets enough latitude, it will likely clip NC. When are the steering currents expected to pick up? NC needs rain, but if it were to stall like Floyd—eeesh.
The link won’t open for me......
I think they said there is a name for the new storm if it becomes a hurricane, but I don’t recall... anybody know?
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