Does the temperature in a teapot go lower when you turn the heat down? Or does it just get warmer slower? It all depends on other factors, and on time. If the perihelion effect is at the bottom now, the cooling effect might just be starting. Especially since it's likely that Solar radiation levels swamp the perihelion effect over shorter intervals.
Since past times (Medieval Warming, Roman Warm) that I mentioned were both warmer and about 1 and 2 thousand years ago, I think I did answer your question indirectly. There is evidence of cooling over the last 2000 years. And also evidence of other cycles in the warming and cooling of shorter times.
>> Does the temperature in a teapot go lower when you turn the heat down? Or does it just get warmer slower? <<
A wholly invalid comparison. No-one just lit the sun, recently. We’re talking this factor approaching its MINIMUM. You’re still treating the issue like it’s July 10th in the cycle, and it’s already January.