Despite dire predictions from the National Hurricane Center, no hurricanes hit the U.S. last year. This year they are again predicting as many as 10 hurricanes, up to five of them hitting the U.S.
First of all, I don't see ANY seasonal hurricane forecast predicting the number of hits - instead, they usually predict a statistical chance of a given part of the coast getting hit.
Second, you can have a very active hurricane season and have no hits on the US, and vice versa - Andrew happened during an otherwise slow year.
Third, forecasts are just that - forecasts. Last year, there was an unexpected early el Nino.
And all I see from Accuweather is hype.
The question is:
Does the government lower the quality of forecasts by competing in a market better served by private enterprise?