Here’s more detail on “where” the people are in the path, from a message by a resident of Playa del Carmen on the stormcarib board, although it doesn’t give numbers:
~~~~
The federal highway 307, that runs from Cancun to Chetumal will be closed at Tulum for south bound traffic starting at 3:00pm (you do not want to get caught on the jungle road during a storm)
.
The major population centers that are in the direct path is ‘”Felipe Carrillo Puerto” Felipe is down the jungle road from Tulum and was the Mayan Capital during the Chaste war, for Mayan Independence (they lost).
Based on 11:00am position
Felipe closest point of approach 30 miles (right quadrant)
Farther south is the town of Bacalar, closest point of approach 35 miles
The largest population center to be affected is Chetumal, the Capital of Quintana Roo , closest point of approach 40 miles.
The people who are in the most dire position is Mahahual and the Costa Maya,
closest point of approach 10 miles.
~~~~