Yea, it looks like Tulum and Cozumel, which are a little south of Cancun are right in the path. I’ve been there many times and always hate this.
I worried myself sick about a friend in Coz 2 years ago with the earlier of the 2 canes - and she came thru it without batting an eye. (And I freaked totally out over *my own* near-miss in Rita, lol.) I’ve learned that in many cases, Coz does just fine and gets right back up in no time.
Now, I haven’t been there in the intervening years, nor to Cancun, so I haven’t *seen* all the rebuilding with my own two eyes. I can only *assume* each new construction is sturdier than what went down.
IOW, I pray, but don’t worry myself sick like before. OTOH, for Belize, I always do. The little cayes can be totally inundated.