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Hurricane Dean Live Thread Part III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 20 August 2007 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 08/20/2007 8:12:21 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Dean is steaming toward the Yucatan Peninsula today, packing winds over 150 mph. The Hurricane Hunter aircraft aborted its mission Monday morning due to equipment problems. The storm is expected to attain catastrophic Category 5 status today. The Cayman Islands have been spared the brunt of the storm's winds as Dean passed 125 miles south of Grand Cayman.

Jamaica continues to assess damage to its infrastructure after Dean uprooted trees, knocked down power lines, stripped off roofs, and dumped up to 20 inches of rain, causing mudslides in the mountains. The government of Jamaica has declared a month-long state of emergency. Haiti has reported four fatalities. The Dominican Republic reported a 20ft storm surge. Martinique lost its banana crops. Additional details are scarce at this point due to extensive power outages.

Alcoa suspended aluminum production in Jamaica. Mexico evacuated thousands of workers from oil platforms. Texas mobilized the National Guard, opened emergency operations centers and moved inmates inland from three prisons in advance of the storm.

Space shuttle Endeavour is returning home Tuesday, a day early due to Hurricane Dean.

In other storm news, the remnants of Tropical Storm Erin caused massive rains and flooding in Oklahoma Sunday. Two people have drowned, and three are reported missing at this time.

Public Advisories Updated every three hours.

Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours

Three Day Tracking Map

Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks

Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico

Buoy Data West Caribbean

Storm Model Tracks

Storm Surge graphic

Satellite Images

Visible Satellite Still Image

IR Image

WV Image

Cancun Radar Caution- very prone to overload with high traffic

Additional Resources:

Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Cayman One Radio Nice music mix, and hourly news

Hurricane Dean Thread II
Hurricane Dean Thread I

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Mexico
KEYWORDS: dean; hurricane; hurricanedean; mexico
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To: NautiNurse

I would like to thank you for doing Hurricane threads the last few seasons. When the thread gets as large as a hurricane you break it up in chapters sort of like a eye wall replacement. :)


141 posted on 08/20/2007 11:19:35 AM PDT by Orange1998
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To: Orange1998

In situations like this I try to cut them some slack. Remember years back when it looked like Galveston might get hit? Their city manager(?) evacuated the island. People left and the hurricane went elsewhere. He really caught it. Sometimes it’s just a no win.


142 posted on 08/20/2007 11:21:08 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: NautiNurse

My friends in Houston have already been prepared. They are worried that she might bounce and head into the gulf. This one is another monster.

Payment for all of the modcons that we enjoy???


143 posted on 08/20/2007 11:25:02 AM PDT by dixie sass
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To: CindyDawg
The same happen to NOLA the year before Katrina. I guess no one believed them the second time. Yes I have to lighten up on Perry. I never seen a politician get away with such bull as much as he.
144 posted on 08/20/2007 11:25:19 AM PDT by Orange1998
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To: NautiNurse; All

Cancun blogger:

http://hurricanecancun.com/2007/08/17/hurricane-dean-cancun-latest-update/


145 posted on 08/20/2007 11:28:51 AM PDT by RDTF (Republicans believe every day is July 4th, but Democrats believe every day is April 15th. - Reagan)
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To: RDTF

cancun webcams:

http://hurricanecancun.com/live-cancun-webcam/


146 posted on 08/20/2007 11:30:08 AM PDT by RDTF (Republicans believe every day is July 4th, but Democrats believe every day is April 15th. - Reagan)
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To: NautiNurse

I just read on local site that Cancun airport was supposed to close at 1:00 PM, martial law has been declared, and alcohol is not permitted to be sold.


147 posted on 08/20/2007 11:30:41 AM PDT by HollyB
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To: RDTF

Take care with his track map - it’s from the 17th.


148 posted on 08/20/2007 11:31:23 AM PDT by PeteB570 (Guns, what real men want for Christmas)
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To: RDTF

Fortunately, that blog with the northern track is dated three days ago, Aug 17.


149 posted on 08/20/2007 11:31:46 AM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: PeteB570

updated on the home page:

http://hurricanecancun.com/


150 posted on 08/20/2007 11:32:23 AM PDT by RDTF (Republicans believe every day is July 4th, but Democrats believe every day is April 15th. - Reagan)
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To: HollyB
I just read on local site that Cancun airport was supposed to close at 1:00 PM, martial law has been declared, and alcohol is not permitted to be sold.

No wonder why they declared martial law early :-)

151 posted on 08/20/2007 11:32:48 AM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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To: HollyB

The tourists who insisted on staying to party are in for a bigger headache than their hangovers.


152 posted on 08/20/2007 11:33:07 AM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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Cancun Hurricane blog with pics

http://www.hurricanecancun.com/


153 posted on 08/20/2007 11:33:55 AM PDT by HollyB
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To: rodguy911

Where are you? Hope all turns out well. Take care.


154 posted on 08/20/2007 11:35:36 AM PDT by oneamericanvoice (Support freedom! Support the troops! Surrender is not an option!)
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live webcam link:

http://www.webcamcancun.com/


155 posted on 08/20/2007 11:39:06 AM PDT by RDTF (Republicans believe every day is July 4th, but Democrats believe every day is April 15th. - Reagan)
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To: NautiNurse

yea, I had posted the wrong link, thank God.


156 posted on 08/20/2007 11:41:22 AM PDT by RDTF (Republicans believe every day is July 4th, but Democrats believe every day is April 15th. - Reagan)
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To: Orange1998
He definitely needs a spokesperson though. I found myself wanting to tell him “it’s ok”
157 posted on 08/20/2007 11:41:27 AM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: steveegg

Not good. If they can’t buy it, what if they loot it?


158 posted on 08/20/2007 11:42:25 AM PDT by txhurl
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To: CindyDawg
Couple that with the announcement that the Border Patrol will check cars throughout the evacuation.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1883561/posts

Seems weird. OTOH, we were leaving for the west coast when Rita hit. We slipped out through Del Rio. All rooms were booked and there was no gas until Sanderson, TX.
It I hadn’t seen it, I wouldn’t have believed it.

But still, Perry's demeanor coupled with the odd BP statement, and the shuttle coming in early is puzzling

159 posted on 08/20/2007 11:42:36 AM PDT by Pebcak
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To: CindyDawg

Hard headed Texans, think it’s in most of us. :)


160 posted on 08/20/2007 11:44:30 AM PDT by SouthTexas
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