I don't know if I can watch this anymore.
I think it will wobble north then back to the west,,,
Gunna be close...
Im looking at Ivan in 2004, it took nearly the same track just south of Jamaica. A Cat 4 but became a 5 just after passing.
http://atoc.colorado.edu/~cassano/atoc1050/Weather_discussion/hurricanes_2004/IVAN2A.track.gif
The last IR frame seems to show an intensification.
(the orange grew darker and more red appeared)
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html
Oh no. Dear Lord, please push it south again.