From 1200z (0800 EDT yesterday to 1200z today, Dean moved 435.8 miles on bearing 295 magnetic.
On this course, and at this speed, 18.2 mph, Dean will pass its closest point of approach to Kingston Jamaica at 2125z (1725 EDT) this evening, 45 miles south.
On this course, and at this speed, Dean would make landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula 157 statute miles south of Cancun and 143 staqtute miles north of Belmopan, at 1252z (0852 EDT) Tuesday.
On this course, and at this speed, Dean would cross the Yucatan and make second landfall, east of and 50 miles north of Mexico City at 2100z (1700 EDT), Wednesday, August 22.
Deviations from the 295 degree base track within the past 30 hours include a 6.7 mile wobble to the north, and a 3.5 mile wobble to the south.
The slight surface pressure indicated strengthening from 930 mb to 921 mb is noted.
Nice analysis. Thanks!
Thanks for the updates. I’m still trying to get it in gear this morning.
Guess Jumpin’ Jim Cantore’s going to be moving then ;-)
What is steering this thing? It’s incredibly consistent in direction.