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Posted on 08/19/2007 3:52:51 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Dean is moving west-northwest through the Caribbean Sea. The current NHC forecast track indicates Dean's powerful center core will pass just south of the southwestern peninsula of Haiti, and should skirt Jamaica's southern shoreline. The storm maintained strong Category 4 wind status through the night during an eyewall replacement cycle. However, the minimum pressure supports Category 5, and additional strengthening of winds is likely.
Tourists in Jamaica crowded airports Saturday to leave the island nation. Jamaican Prime Minister Portia Simpson Miller addressed the Jamaican people, asking that everyone put aside their political differences and work together in advance of the imminent storm preceding Jamaica's general election scheduled for August 27. PM Miller announced that the Jamaican power grid and water would likely be shut down early Sunday morning in advance of the storm, and strongly urged citizens to seek shelter.
The United States and Barbados have pledged hurricane relief supplies and support to Jamaica as needed. No word yet from the United Nations...
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data East Caribbean
Buoy Data West Caribbean
Storm Surge graphic
Satellite Images/Radar
Additional Resources:
StormCarib Island locals post their observations
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Some of us are fortunate to have any computers at all, much less an Internet connection. I’m lucky to be alive, so I don’t gripe much about my dialup.
Please don’t make the mistake some other FReepers have made, assuming because I’m sick and broke that I’m also stupid - and I won’t assume you’re really that small-minded and cruel. Thanks.
I rebooted after I downloaded it. I’m not seeing the yellow security bar at the top, so that’s not it either. The Java icon is in my taskbar. I’ll defrag and cleanup and whatever else I know how to do and see if that helps. It will take a while...
How could I forget? Yes- Joe Bastardi.
Need more coffee...
Good mornin’ from soggy Wisconsin.
Did I miss the 8AM Advisory post?
Statement as of 8:00 am EDT on August 19, 2007
...Outer bands of Dean about to reach Jamaica...
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the southwestern peninsula
of Haiti from west of the Haiti-dominican border to Port-au-Prince.
A Hurricane Warning is also in effect for Jamaica and the Cayman
Islands. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are
expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the coast of Haiti north
of Port-au-Prince to the northern Haiti-Dominican Republic border.
A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect for portions of eastern
Cuba...from the province of Camaguey eastward to the province of
Guantanamo. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm
conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24
hours.
A tropical storm watch is in effect for portions of central
Cuba...for the provinces of Ciego de Avila...Sancti Spiritus...
Cienfuegos... Matanzas...and Isla de la Juventud. A tropical storm
watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the
watch area...generally within 36 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the western Caribbean...including
western Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula...should closely monitor the
progress of Dean.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
At 800 am EDT...1200z...the center of Hurricane Dean was located
near latitude 16.8 north...longitude 74.3 west or about 180 miles...
295 km...east-southeast of Kingston Jamaica.
Dean is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph...30 km/hr...
and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24
hours. On this track...the core of the hurricane will be very near
Jamaica later today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph...230 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Dean is a category four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next
24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles...95 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205
miles...335 km.
The estimated minimum central pressure was 921 mb...27.20 inches.
An Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft will be reaching
the center of Dean shortly.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 7 to 9 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...is
possible near the center of Dean within the Hurricane Warning area.
Storm total rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches can be expected over
Jamaica...with maximum amounts of up to 20 inches. Amounts of 4 to
8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches are expected over the
Cayman Islands. Amounts of 4 to 6 inches are possible over
southern Hispaniola with maximum totals of 10 inches. The
remainder of Hispaniola and eastern Cuba could receive 2 to 4
inches of rain...with maximum amounts up to 7 inches. These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
Repeating the 800 am EDT position...16.8 N...74.3 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 18 mph. Maximum sustained winds...145
mph. Minimum central pressure...921 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
1100 am EDT.
$$
Forecaster Franklin
D’OH! I got in a bit late ;-)
It must stand for Clobber Louisiana People 5.
You did just fine.
LOL!
Don’t quote me, but I think in all my reading yesterday and last night that I saw he was in Cancun. Someone has seen him and reported so on another forum. Sorry I’m fuzzy on this.
Oops! Sorry about the graphic. Just saw your post about not posting animated graphics. However, the grapic above is less than 50 KB.
The AF planes are in now, might be reporting soon. I’ll try to watch. Puter virus is letting me do a little more than usual today, for some reason. *famous last words*
Definitely.
Dean appears to be back on a westerly track. Perhaps Jamaica will be spared the brunt of the storm.
That’s definitely famous last words.
Speaking of bad news; Jim Cantore is ensuring a Yucatan slam.
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