Hurricane Dean Live Thread Part II

NOAA/NHC ^ | August 19, 2007 | NOAA/NWS

[nwctwx]

;)

The GFDL brings it into the Gulf of California.

[1COUNTER-MORTER-68]

I don’t think the eye will get closer than 30 miles from the coast,,,that won’t matter much to those folks,,,
The last sat-loop shows it heading back to the west...
watchin’ for the next wobble...

[steveegg]

The GFDL brings it into the Gulf of California.

Now we know why the GFDL's so "accurate"; if it covers every situation over the course of a hurricane's life, one of those HAS to be right.

[Milwaukee_Guy]

Yes it is the ham radio station located at the National Hurricane Center.

I used to do this for the Skywarn Tornado nets based at the Milwaukee/Sullivan NWSFO.

What you’re hearing is the Big Kahuna of Amateur Radio severe weather nets.

Way Cool!

[nwctwx]

click the thumbnail, here's a recent 3 image loop -- looks about as good as it has whole cycle. too bad the plane left.. it's feeding off the warmest water in the atlantic right now.

[BenLurkin]

I hope it moves right over Mexico and then turns up to California del Norte.

We need the rain.

[getmeouttaPalmBeachCounty_FL]

Very cool, indeed.

[nwctwx]

I’d be somewhat shocked if it reformed on the Pacific side given the track it would take. Never know though..

[eyedigress]

I’m new to thread today but hope you have some insight. What is the forcast prediction for Guadalajara?

[getmeouttaPalmBeachCounty_FL]

Wow 30 ft. waves on the east side!

[No Blue States]

I hope youre right, every mile counts.

[eyedigress]

Blame it on a monsoon wind, that’s what it is. You deserve the rain.

[SauronOfMordor]

Im predicting the eye will graze the south shore or come close. For an island 60 miles by 120 miles long thats going to hurt.

For a storm that big (currently Cat 4), it wont make a big difference. They are already being hit by the outer part and given the building practices (outside tourist areas), there will probably be a lot of damage and suffering

[SouthTexas]

So does NOGAPS and BAMM.

BAM is new grandson's initials.:)

[Milwaukee_Guy]

“I’m new to thread today but hope you have some insight. What is the forecast prediction for Guadalajara?”

Welcome!

Go straight to the source,

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

[1COUNTER-MORTER-68]

TANKS,,,that’s the loop I’ve got up,,,just a touch north of due west now,,,waiting for the up-date...

[silentknight]

Lot of damage reports and other info being posted here - updates almost by the minute

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=140197&st=460

[Ernest_at_the_Beach]

Accuweather on Dean's impact on jamica:

Destructive Hurricane Dean is bearing down on Jamaica and the Cayman Islands. Meanwhile, President Bush has signed an unusual pre-disaster declaration for Texas.

*************************EXCERPT******************************

Dean is pounding Jamaica with flooding rain that could trigger potentially deadly flash flooding and mudslides. Most areas will receive 5 to 10 inches of rain, with as much as 20 inches of rain possible in some areas.

[Ernest_at_the_Beach]

A still photo close-up of the eye of Category 4 Hurricane Dean. Crew members on the Space Shuttle Endeavour captured this image around 1 p.m. EDT Saturday of Hurricane Dean in the Caribbean. Image: NASA

[lentulusgracchus]

This will be an unforgettable honeymoon, no doubt.

Better marriage, though, maybe.