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Posted on 08/19/2007 3:52:51 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Dean is moving west-northwest through the Caribbean Sea. The current NHC forecast track indicates Dean's powerful center core will pass just south of the southwestern peninsula of Haiti, and should skirt Jamaica's southern shoreline. The storm maintained strong Category 4 wind status through the night during an eyewall replacement cycle. However, the minimum pressure supports Category 5, and additional strengthening of winds is likely.
Tourists in Jamaica crowded airports Saturday to leave the island nation. Jamaican Prime Minister Portia Simpson Miller addressed the Jamaican people, asking that everyone put aside their political differences and work together in advance of the imminent storm preceding Jamaica's general election scheduled for August 27. PM Miller announced that the Jamaican power grid and water would likely be shut down early Sunday morning in advance of the storm, and strongly urged citizens to seek shelter.
The United States and Barbados have pledged hurricane relief supplies and support to Jamaica as needed. No word yet from the United Nations...
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I think its an extremely intense thunderstorm.
Looks like Dean is still have eye problems, dry air off the islands maybe. Sure glad he lost sight of Jamaica and is wandering a bit south!
Click the pic on the top left for a loop, looks like Jamacia
is going to really get slammed..also it appears a bigger eye and stadium effect is forming...could be my imagination though.
http://www1.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsdsol/TROPICAL.html
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/mm5fsutc2.cgi?time=2007081900&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation
The next two buoys are down, 42058 and 42057.
Are you thinking of Carla that sat off the Texas coast for days before coming ashore? that was 1959 or 60.
Carla was 1961. I was young, but I’ll never forget that one.
Dean is definitely one of the “flattest” (straight path, little curve, furthest south) and fastest storms of the past few years.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-vis.html
also put the LatON and the SST ON....
I think we will have another official depression later today or tomorrow...will that storm drag Dean to the Gulf???
Every wobble sure adds up for Jamacia right now huh?
Provided no northern wobble they could be spared the absolute worst.
I was in 3rd grade for Carla in San Antonio - remember watching what seemed like days and days of rain.
That is horrible! Dean goes right over my house!
WOW, you are right, we gotta watch all this real close. The water in the gom is 83-85 degrees, I remeber how quick Alicia spawned.
The most powerful tropical system to affect the Texas coast in over 40 years…Hurricane Carla made landfall between Port O’Connor and Port Lavaca on the day of September 11, 1961. In the open waters of the Gulf, a minimum central pressure of 931mb, or 27.50 inches along with maximum sustained wind speeds over 150 mph, made Carla a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale of hurricane intensity. When the "eye" or center of Hurricane Carla made landfall early in the morning of the 11th, the intensity had dropped off but the storm was still packing winds of 120 mph in areas from Port O’Connor up the coast to Galveston. The "eye" of the storm came within 65 miles to the east of Corpus Christi.
Carla
I think that is an upper low according to the NHC tropical discussion:
...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE ERN GULF NEAR 25N87W MOVING W. CYCLONIC FLOW IS BETWEEN 80W-94W. THE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING NOCTURNAL THUNDERSTORMS FROM 22N-26N BETWEEN 85W-90W.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/191155.shtml?
I was around six. In Alvin. After that my Mom left town any time a hurricane mentioned in the Gulf or Atlantic, no matter where it was. I missed a lot of school in Septs:’)
Keep the prayers coming for them.
Thanks for the pics and link. Fascinating.
THE GULF OF MEXICO...Weak surface ridging is over the Gulf of Mexico with ridge axis along 30N. Thus surface winds are mostly from the E at 10-15 kt E of 80W...and from the SE at 10-15 kt W of 80W. Patches of showers and isolated thunderstorms are streaming over central and south Florida with the easterlies. In the upper levels...an upper level low is centered over the ERN Gulf near 25N87W moving W. Cyclonic flow is between 80W-94W. The system is producing nocturnal thunderstorms from 22N-26N between 85W-90W. Upper level ridging is over the WRN Gulf producing NRL flow W of 94W. All eyes are on Hurricane Dean which is expected to move into the SW portion of the Gulf on Tue night.
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