The key is hitting the Yucatan. You’ll notice the one track that hits Texas avoids land altogether until it reaches Corpus Christi. All the others slam into the Yucutan which is bound to sap some of its energy but may also cause a serious course correction. Hurricanes are like spinning tops and once they bump into something they’ll bounce. Which direction it bounces in will determine where it moves on from there.
The other key is frontal systems and pressure ridges. I don’t think there is one forecast for Texas/Mexico next week so there shouldn’t be anything to impede it’s westward movement other than the Yucutan. That’s the key.
I hope the people renting my time share in Cancun know to try and get out of there.