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To: CajunConservative; NautiNurse; dirtboy
the gfdl is generally one of the more accurate models in the tropics, yes. it has been north of most others over recent days though. here's the new run right before landfall:


235 posted on 08/17/2007 10:58:20 AM PDT by nwctwx
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To: nwctwx
NHC sticking with the tip of the Yucatan Peninsula.


239 posted on 08/17/2007 11:06:58 AM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: nwctwx
Damn, but that one looks familiar.

Let's hope the GFDL's the outlier here.

241 posted on 08/17/2007 11:11:33 AM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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To: nwctwx

Gawd, do NOT let that be so.


253 posted on 08/17/2007 11:40:22 AM PDT by dirtboy (Impeach Chertoff and Gonzales. We can't wait until 2009 for them to be gone.)
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To: nwctwx
no no no no...not liking that picture.
274 posted on 08/17/2007 1:09:22 PM PDT by sweet_diane ("I still come down to talk to me, when the coast is clear.")
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To: nwctwx
no no no no...not liking that picture.
275 posted on 08/17/2007 1:09:28 PM PDT by sweet_diane ("I still come down to talk to me, when the coast is clear.")
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To: nwctwx

5pm advisory out - intensity unchanged, both windspeed and pressure. Forecast track takes it right over Jamaica as a Cat 4.


284 posted on 08/17/2007 1:43:44 PM PDT by dirtboy (Impeach Chertoff and Gonzales. We can't wait until 2009 for them to be gone.)
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To: nwctwx

Five day track at 5pm still treats GFDL as an outlier - no real shift from the 11 AM 5 day.


285 posted on 08/17/2007 1:45:35 PM PDT by dirtboy (Impeach Chertoff and Gonzales. We can't wait until 2009 for them to be gone.)
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