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Locked on 08/19/2007 5:43:08 AM PDT by Lead Moderator, reason:
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Posted on 08/16/2007 4:43:17 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings have been issued for Dominica and St. Lucia as Hurricane Dean races westward into the Caribbean Sea at 24mph. This motion should bring the center of Dean near the Lesser Antilles on Friday. The increased forward speed of the storm has lessened preparation time for Caribbean Islands in its path. Hurricane Dean has favorable conditions to develop into a major hurricane over the next several days.
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
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Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data East Caribbean
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Hurricane City
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Yes, I have prayed!
Interesting: a tornado chaser show on Discovery I saw recently found that there was a 90% factor in wind speeds of a tornado between Doppler measurements (100% measured at 100 ft high or more) and ground level (the 90% value).
It would be neat if it ripped loose and kept reporting data as it was swept along with the storm.
A “Dorothy”:’)
That it would.
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007
A. 18/02:58:10Z
B. 14 deg 53 min N
065 deg 55 min W
C. 700 mb 2547 m
I just turned on Fox to see what they might have to say and I see Susan Estrich on there. It sounds like Susan anyway. Is that really her?
You know, it could just jump over into the Pacific and leave us alone.
Yep
via Phoenix...
Guess it’s a good thing they’re not trying an 850-mb run.
This storm reminds me of Hurricane Gilbert. But this one is probably going to hit Jamaica harder than Gilbert—and Gilbert hit Jamaica extraordinarily hard. I know Jamaicans are used to hurricanes, but I hope they take this one very seriously. Depending upon how it hits the swells could annihilate Kingston (pop. 666,000).
Wow.
Wet. Very wet.
I know some people in the middle of Alabama that would really like the rain...
29.67in, 39.4 kts highest sustained burst, 17 foot seas.
Eyes are blurry, the chair’s broke (and I don’t want to boot up the laptop or make the screen large enough so I can grab the wireless keyboard/mouse and move back to alternative seating), and my normal schedule starts at 0-dark-30 tomorrow. Guess it’s time to call it a night.
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