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Hurricane Dean Live Thread [Now Cat 4]
NOAA/NWS ^ | August 16 2007 | NOAA/NWS

Posted on 08/16/2007 4:43:17 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane warnings have been issued for Dominica and St. Lucia as Hurricane Dean races westward into the Caribbean Sea at 24mph. This motion should bring the center of Dean near the Lesser Antilles on Friday. The increased forward speed of the storm has lessened preparation time for Caribbean Islands in its path. Hurricane Dean has favorable conditions to develop into a major hurricane over the next several days.

Public Advisories Updated every three hours.

Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours

Three Day Tracking Map

Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks

Buoy Data East Caribbean

Buoy Data West Caribbean

Storm Model Tracks

Storm Surge graphic

Satellite Images

Visible Satellite Still Image

IR Image

WV Image

Additional Resources:

Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: dean; hurricane; hurricanedean; tropical; tsdean
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To: Rte66
Drop off points have been set up at several churches, including Holy Family Episcopal Church in North Miami, Kendall Community Church in Kendall

A lot of my neighbors are Jamaican up here in north central Florida. They have Jamaican churches, grocery stores, and restaurants. I expect that there will be some relief efforts here, will have to see how I can help.

1,061 posted on 08/18/2007 9:54:06 PM PDT by Lucius Cornelius Sulla (A person who does not want the best for America)
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To: All

http://www.auburnpub.com/articles/2007/08/19/ap/headlines/d8r3sfb80.txt

Hurricane Dean Moves Toward Jamaica


1,062 posted on 08/18/2007 10:03:38 PM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ( “An appeaser is one who feeds a crocodile, hoping that it will eat him last.”)
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To: Lucius Cornelius Sulla

Good for you. I believe there will be something here in Houston to help them, too. I missed the first part of tonight’s newscast, but they were interviewing a number of J’mcans who live here.

One restaurant owner was worried sick about her 82-yo mother on the Island who recently had heart surgery. She said she feels so helpless from this distance. I felt so sorry for her.

Prayers continuing through the night.


1,063 posted on 08/18/2007 10:05:22 PM PDT by Rte66
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To: Chasaway

Placemarker...


1,064 posted on 08/18/2007 10:11:08 PM PDT by Chasaway (Anything not worth doing is not worth doing well.)
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To: Rte66; All

JMHO : The eye looks like it’s tracking ,generally ,
a little more south ,over-all,with the last loop-update,,,
looks a little better to me,,,FWIW,,,
Ain’t gunna help Mexico though...:0/


1,065 posted on 08/18/2007 10:16:48 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: CajunConservative

Don’t be too quick to depend on the dingbat Blanco (grin).

If things get too bad down there, head up north to the mountains here in Tennessee. We are high and dry, and have many good people willing to welcome in a few Cajuns (my husband is a displaced Cajun from Westlake), we did it during Rita, had some Lake Charles folks come and stay awhile here with my family members.

Received a call from relatives in Westlake today, and they say they’ll head this way if it gets close enough to your area. If you and yours want to head this way, we’ll get you lodging (free), and I’ll personally cook up some good food for you. If you want crawfish,you can bring them, as we have little crawdads here. But I make an awesome chicken and sausage gumbo. Wish you could bring some Rabidaeux sausage with you when you come.

Keep in mind, we would love to have a few Cajuns up here. My husband spent his lifetime in Westlake/Lake Charles area, and he’d love for you to visit.

Let me know, if you need to evacuate. Might as well be up here in the Tennessee Mountains, high and dry, with breathless scenery, enjoying this with folks who know how to wup up a good gumbo.


1,066 posted on 08/18/2007 10:19:28 PM PDT by girlangler (Fish Fear Me)
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To: ichabod1

We lived in the Caymans for a couple years...no AC. But we always had a great sea breeze coming in off the water, so we’d just leave our screen doors/windows open and it was okay.

As to growing up in Florida w/out AC, one of the things that made it bearable was you could always leave your windows open at night, with the screens allowing in some ventilation. Today, you can’t do that...at least not in urban areas because of break-ins, etc.

I have MS, and heat affects “us” (people with MS) but many people use cooling vests in the summer if they have to be out in the heat for an extended time. It looks like a fishing vest, but has pockets for ice packs and will keep your core temperature cool enough to keep your body functioning. They also have neck wraps and hats now that you can soak and wear which will greatly reduce your body temp. And as you said, nothing works quite as well as a cold glass of water.


1,067 posted on 08/18/2007 10:20:34 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: Lucius Cornelius Sulla

We need to all get ready to send money to Jamaica via a favorite charity. Doctors without Borders has some leftist leanings, but while I was piping them money for the Tsunami they sent me notice that they were already overfunded for that catastrophe and that my money might go somewhere else. I sent it anyway.


1,068 posted on 08/18/2007 10:23:13 PM PDT by txhurl
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To: 1COUNTER-MORTER-68

Yep, they’re saying it’ll possibly “graze” Jamaica on the south, instead of hitting head-on, and then pass approx 60 mi south of the Caymans. Nope, not a lot of help at all to any of them, but better chances than some of the alternatives.


1,069 posted on 08/18/2007 10:27:27 PM PDT by Rte66
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To: dawn53

Ha, if anyone had seen me during my non-AC time, they would’ve laughed.

I couldn’t find the coldwraps and vests I have - must be in storage - but I had some little lunch box cold packs, which I used. What’s comical is that they are “giant” plastic M&M’s and Oreo cookies - so I had those stuck to various places on my body, lol.


1,070 posted on 08/18/2007 10:36:50 PM PDT by Rte66
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To: dawn53
nothing works quite as well as a cold glass of water.

Actually when things got really hot I used to get in a tub of cold water.

1,071 posted on 08/18/2007 10:39:18 PM PDT by Lucius Cornelius Sulla (A person who does not want the best for America)
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To: Rte66
This chnl=uw4&domain=crb&period=720&incr=30&rr=900&banner=uhmet&satplat=goes12&overlay=off incredible link really shows where the GOM upper level low might be drawing Dean north.

Click 'rock' to show path.

1,072 posted on 08/18/2007 10:49:39 PM PDT by txhurl
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To: txflake

That’s what I was reading about but the models have gone more to the south west.


1,073 posted on 08/18/2007 10:53:29 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: Rte66

Yep, they’re saying it’ll possibly “graze” Jamaica on the south, instead of hitting head-on, and then pass approx 60 mi south of the Caymans. Nope, not a lot of help at all to any of them, but better chances than some of the alternatives.
~~~~~~~~~~~
I’m thinkin’ better than that,,,it wobbles in a due west
direction,,,a little north then back due west,,,you see,,,

With all this new-fangled puter-stuff I still use my
clear plastic 6” hurricane-tracker-straight-edge-ruler to
plot with...I can bend it...(lookin’ for crayolas)...;0)


1,074 posted on 08/18/2007 10:55:36 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: txflake
Make that

http://weather.hawaii.edu/satellite/satanim.cgi?chnl=uw4&domain=crb&period=720&incr=30&rr=900&banner=uhmet&satplat=goes12&overlay=off

1,075 posted on 08/18/2007 11:00:07 PM PDT by txhurl
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To: txflake; CindyDawg

Is it moving to the NW on that loop? Is that what ya’ll are seeing?


1,076 posted on 08/18/2007 11:22:44 PM PDT by Pebcak
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To: Pebcak
That's what I see. I've heard three good scenarios why:

1. The mountains of Haiti & Dom. Rep are giving it a 'haircut' which changes the centrifugal spin.
2. The ULL in the Gulf is sucking Dean up.
3. If you are vacuuming with no brush or head, the tube tends to suck towards the wall or cabinet if you just let it go where it wants. I.E. landmass, in this case.(this is my personal favorite)

1,077 posted on 08/18/2007 11:31:33 PM PDT by txhurl
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To: Pebcak

It’s late. I’m not the best with directions to begin with. The models show it going further into Mexico. People were talking about the ULL might pull it more towards Texas.


1,078 posted on 08/18/2007 11:49:14 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg

I wonder where is Dog Gone? It’s his job to link us and update us.


1,079 posted on 08/18/2007 11:58:46 PM PDT by txhurl
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To: nuclady

bookmark


1,080 posted on 08/19/2007 12:01:25 AM PDT by nuclady
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