Posted on 07/05/2007 1:34:26 PM PDT by Reaganesque
Is Fred ahead anywhere? or was that just wishful thinking?
Which Mitt is doing well? The conservative sounding Mitt or the liberal one?
How can you trust what he says? He obviously will say anything to win. He’s like Bill Clinton minus the sex scandals.
When Mitt is ahead in any of the big delegate states (CA, TX, FL, NY) let me know.
Fred is now leading in NC, SC, and Fla. I think in Ga also. He is #2 in a number of other states.
Don’t rain on their parade.
New Hampshire will probably move their primary to December. With the inevitable Romney win there he will have weeks press coverage portraying him as the winner and the others as losers. Then we will have Iowa where he also is ahead. Another win likely and another few weeks of Romney = winner, others = losers. By the time we get to Super-Tuesday this thing will be over.
By those standards you might as well hand the nomination to Giuliani, though there was a poll a few weeks ago with Romney ahead in California.
By the end of January, he will be ahead or very close in all of them. Mark my words.
Fred is not leading in either FL or SC:
National - Giuliani + 7.5
Iowa - Romney + 8.3
New Hampshire - Romney + 7.0
South Carolina - Giuliani + 4.2
Florida - Giuliani + 11.0
http://www.realclearpolitics.com
I’ll take your word about the other states you mentioned because I haven’t seen those polls.
Yes, the same “poll” showing Hunter in 3rd place in CA.
Oh I will :-)
Hope you won't forget mine either.
It was a poll as good as any other. The Rasmussen poll that shows Fred Thompson ahead nationally goes against 5 other national polls that show him in the 15% range. Take away the Rasmussen poll and I haven’t seen Fred ahead anywhere. sorry. So much for niche players..
Thank you for correcting me. I was wrong about Fla. but Mason-Dixon has him ahead in the other states.
The only candidates whose numbers changed since May have been McCain and Thompson, mostly due to immigration and Fred’s coming out party. The numbers have been flat because its Summer and nobody cares about an election that is over a year away. All that matters is money, organization, and early Primary campaign appearances. Mitt has the right strategy. He was to win in New Hampshire and Iowa and finish 2nd in South Carolina. Then he will have some major momentum.
Sure, but Romney is running 4th nationally, and if he doesent win both those states he's so over. There's a chance those wins will kick him up nationally, but if he loses he gets to go home .
IMO, by March it'll be Thompson vs Guliani. Unless I'm wrong, of course.
Whether that's actually true or not, we shall see. But it does indicate that he is doing very well there.
(Will start paying attention many months from now...)
There’s no way on earth that’s an accurate sampling. Nothing against Romney at all, but this is California we’re talking about.
The wild disparity in poll results tells me a lot about the sampling size, time of day polled, sample pool, etc.
Believe what you will but it’s fairly worthless. He may get 3rd with Fred in the race, but it’s a winner-take-all state.
Exactly why should anyone weep? I thought we were all on the same team here. And Romney and Thompson are the two most competent politicians running on a conservative plank in this race.
So no, I’m not going to weep. And I’m going to question the motives of anyone who does or who demands others do.
I like Thompson personally, but for our next President, I prefer someone with Executive experience. I’d prefer a Governor over a Senator.
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