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Senate Math: It's Fuzzy (The Shamnesty Bill Numbers)
National Review Online ^ | 06/25/2007 | Ernest Istook

Posted on 06/25/2007 8:06:35 AM PDT by Ultra Sonic 007

The Senate’s latest immigration proposal is another sad sign that Washington needs some remedial math classes. Not only does the amnesty bill defy common sense, but its numbers just don’t add up.

Let’s start with the bill’s pretense that the government can conduct background checks on some 12-million amnesty applicants — within the 24-hour turnaround time guaranteed for each applicant. This is the same federal bureaucracy that can’t meet a three-month deadline for processing passports for its own citizens. The Senate bill would have us believe that the government’s already-overworked immigration processors would be able to review and clear 12 million applications in a year’s time — that’s 48,000 every workday !

The bill’s sponsors also played fast and loose with figures when Senator Ted Kennedy and others called a Capitol Hill press conference to show off 310 boxes that they claimed were filled with letters from “a million” amnesty supporters. While the Senators posed for their photo-op, one photographer actually looked inside the boxes - -and found that almost all were empty.

Funny numbers aren’t always so funny. After the Heritage Foundation reported that the amnesty bill would cost the country $2.6 trillion, the White House issued a report from its Council of Economic Advisers claiming that modern immigration is a net economic boost “in the long run.” What’s the long run to them? Only 300 years! (A somewhat longer time than what Heritage considered.) To reach their Pollyanna conclusion, the CEA had to intermix the benefits of legal immigration to offset the detrimental impact of illegal immigration.

Trying to make us think that they’re serious about scofflaws, the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) Agency last week reported progress in tracking down the 630,000 illegals who remain in this country despite court orders requiring them to leave. It’s a huge number, ICE admitted, but don’t fret. The agency has the situation in hand because (drum roll please) its beefed-up enforcement effort has reduced the number of absconders at-large by 500 in the last couple of months. Only 625,500 to go! At a rate of 500 each month, they’ll finish the job in only 105 years more!

Then there’s the border fence. As Congressman Duncan Hunter (R., Calif.) described the already-existing dictate: “854 miles of double border fence was mandated to be constructed. Homeland Security has a billion bucks, cash on hand. It's been six months, and they've done 11 miles.” The proposed bill would shorten the fence to only 370 miles. Whether it’s the fence or beefing up the border patrol and detention facilities, the new bill mostly reiterates the requirements and funding already passed in last year’s Secure Fence Act, but pretends that it’s something new.

Amnesty supporters claim the bill will solve the problem of illegal immigration. But the numbers don’t back them up. The Congressional Budget Office estimates the bill will reduce the flow of illegal immigrants by only a quarter, at best. Moreover, the CBO analysis found the bill’s guest-worker program would quickly attract another one million illegal aliens within a decade — half of them right away.

Numbers games and charades are no substitute for commitment — and that’s been the problem.

We haven’t been serious enough for long enough. For years, while some in Congress pushed for the border fence, employer enforcement, more border agents, and more heartland agents, others in Washington were pushing to expand multilingual election ballots, sanctuary cities that don’t report illegals, non-reporting by schools dominated by students who don’t know English, plus food stamps, public housing, and other benefits for illegals.

Only when those here illegally can get neither jobs nor public benefits will they decide on their own that it’s time to leave (perhaps helped by some privately funded return programs). But those who have been encouraging illegal immigration want the rest of us to concede the fight, declare amnesty and make sure no one goes home.

It would be fuzzy thinking, indeed, if we trusted those who created this mess to “solve” it. Their goal never has been improved national security. Rather, they pursue a utopian vision of the U.S. as a no-borders, globalist nation.

The bill fails other subjects than math — especially English. Behind a facade of honoring English as our national language, the details bolster multilingualism, not only perpetuating multilingual ballots, but also forcing businesses to provide translators at their own expense.

The good news is that most Americans haven’t been fooled. They see right through the false claims that this bill isn’t amnesty. At least we’re getting a passing grade in vocabulary.

You don’t have to be smarter than a fifth grader to oppose this bill.

—Ernest Istook, a former congressman who served on the Select Committee on Homeland Security, is a distinguished fellow at the Heritage Foundation.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Mexico
KEYWORDS: aliens; amnesty; illegalimmigration; illegals; immigrantlist; noamnestyforillegals; vampirebill
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1 posted on 06/25/2007 8:06:37 AM PDT by Ultra Sonic 007
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To: gubamyster; HiJinx

Immigration ping.


2 posted on 06/25/2007 8:06:51 AM PDT by Ultra Sonic 007 (Why vote for Duncan Hunter in 2008? Look at my profile.)
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Comment #3 Removed by Moderator

To: Ultra Sonic 007
You don’t have to be smarter than a fifth grader to oppose this bill.

My new tag line.

4 posted on 06/25/2007 8:10:47 AM PDT by BigFinn (You don’t have to be smarter than a fifth grader to oppose this bill.)
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To: Ultra Sonic 007
The Senate’s latest immigration proposal is another sad sign that Washington needs some remedial math classes. Not only does the amnesty bill defy common sense, but its numbers just don’t add up.

I love correcting fuzzy math. These numbers don't add up. This bill would be a disaster. Build a fence, fine employers, send them back.

Glad I could help!

5 posted on 06/25/2007 8:11:26 AM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Why are protectionists (and goldbugs) so dumb?)
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To: Ultra Sonic 007
show off 310 boxes that they claimed were filled with letters from “a million” amnesty supporters. While the Senators posed for their photo-op, one photographer actually looked inside the boxes - -and found that almost all were empty.

Is this verified?

6 posted on 06/25/2007 8:15:23 AM PDT by rocksblues (Just enforce the law!)
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To: Ultra Sonic 007
Let’s start with the bill’s pretense that the government can conduct background checks on some 12-million amnesty applicants — within the 24-hour turnaround time guaranteed for each applicant. This is the same federal bureaucracy that can’t meet a three-month deadline for processing passports for its own citizens.

Great post!

7 posted on 06/25/2007 8:17:15 AM PDT by GOPJ (Pimping Bush/Kennedy want to sell American citizenship for $5,000.)
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To: Ultra Sonic 007

“...the White House issued a report from its Council of Economic Advisers claiming that modern immigration is a net economic boost “in the long run.” What’s the long run to them? Only 300 years!...” Snort. Here’s why the’y don’t give a rip about the immediate, near-term and middle-term consequences of this horrible bill. Our country will be ruined, unrecognizable, but they won’t be around to see it.


8 posted on 06/25/2007 8:17:57 AM PDT by 3AngelaD (They screwed up their own countries so bad they had to leave, and now they're here screwing up ours)
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To: rocksblues

Istook...Should’t he be Gov of Oklahoma or something.

I really wish that Steve Largent would have been!!!


9 posted on 06/25/2007 8:18:34 AM PDT by CPT Clay (Drill ANWR, Personal Accounts NOW , Vote Hunter in the Primary)
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To: rocksblues

The way I heard it, someone accidentally nudged a stack of them, and several fell over—and the cat was out of the bag.


10 posted on 06/25/2007 8:25:43 AM PDT by MizSterious (Recovering Bushbot)
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To: Ultra Sonic 007
Trying to make us think that they’re serious about scofflaws, the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) Agency last week reported progress in tracking down the 630,000 illegals who remain in this country despite court orders requiring them to leave. It’s a huge number, ICE admitted, but don’t fret. The agency has the situation in hand because (drum roll please) its beefed-up enforcement effort has reduced the number of absconders at-large by 500 in the last couple of months. Only 625,500 to go! At a rate of 500 each month, they’ll finish the job in only 105 years more!

South Carolina goober math, how many are added to this number annually.

11 posted on 06/25/2007 8:26:19 AM PDT by org.whodat (What's the difference between a Democrat and a republican????)
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To: PhiKapMom; Arizona Carolyn

Istook can count ping!


12 posted on 06/25/2007 8:26:35 AM PDT by MizSterious (Recovering Bushbot)
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To: Ultra Sonic 007
“It’s been six months, and they’ve done 11 miles.”

Correct me if I'm mistaken, but IIRC, only two miles of new fencing are actually what's been constructed under the Secure Fence Act of 2006, the other nine are repairs to and completion of fencing provided for under other legislation passed in 2004 that was never completed.

So while they claim of having 11 miles of fencing down, strictly limiting discussion to what was enacted about eight months ago, we have a 1/3 of 1% completion rate. If I had an employee providing me with that rate of effectiveness, I'd fire him/her pronto.

13 posted on 06/25/2007 8:32:48 AM PDT by azhenfud (The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God.)
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To: rocksblues

I had heard this a week ago but it was in Sacramento at the California Statehouse. The amnesty supporters claimed the reason the boxes were empty was because of security issues. John and Ken were talking about it on their broadcast.


14 posted on 06/25/2007 8:49:14 AM PDT by moreisee
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To: moreisee
The amnesty supporters claimed the reason the boxes were empty was because of security issues. John and Ken were talking about it on their broadcast.

That must have been funny. Security of the boxes--screw National Security of the border.

15 posted on 06/25/2007 9:09:43 AM PDT by Snoopers-868th
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To: Ultra Sonic 007
“854 miles of double border fence was mandated to be constructed. Homeland Security has a billion bucks, cash on hand. It's been six months, and they've done 11 miles.”

Ok, that’s about 39 years. They will be wrapping it up about the same time the first anchor babies are retiring.

16 posted on 06/25/2007 9:09:47 AM PDT by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
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To: 1_Inch_Group; 2sheep; 2Trievers; 3AngelaD; 3pools; 3rdcanyon; 4Freedom; 4ourprogeny; 7.62 x 51mm; ..

ping


17 posted on 06/25/2007 9:27:19 AM PDT by gubamyster
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To: Ultra Sonic 007

Call Senators toll-free to ask them to vote against cloture:

1-800-417-7666. (English number)

1-800-882-2005. (Spanish number)


18 posted on 06/25/2007 9:29:18 AM PDT by 3AngelaD (They screwed up their own countries so bad they had to leave, and now they're here screwing up ours)
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To: Ultra Sonic 007
If they have no intention of enforcing the damned laws, they can pretty much promise anything in the law.

Math plays no role...

19 posted on 06/25/2007 9:35:49 AM PDT by Publius6961 (MSM: Israelis are killed by rockets; Lebanese are killed by Israelis.)
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To: Ultra Sonic 007
Here is a list of key Democrat Senate contacts for EVERYONE to email regarding immigration. Many offices are putting calls straight to voicemail and they can just trash faxes (and letters take weeks to get through due to security). Hit Hill staff where they are so codependent - their Blackberries! Send email directly to staff - not just the generic Senate office mailbox. Contact their Chief of Staff, Legislative Director, and Press Secretary. Make your voice heard!!

These are Democrats, so I would strongly suggest taking a pro-union/anti-illegal alien stance (i.e. “they are taking our jobs”) rather than using the conservative national security angle.

Senator Daniel Akaka (D-HI)
Chief of Staff
james_sakai@akaka.senate.gov

Legislative Director
darcie_tokioka@akaka.senate.gov

Press Secretary/Communications Director
donalyn_delacruz@akaka.senate.gov
jon_yoshimura@akaka.senate.gov

Senator Max Baucus (D-MT)
Chief of Staff
jim_messina@baucus.senate.gov

Legislative Director
jon_selib@baucus.senate.gov

Press Secretary/Communications Director
sara_kuban@baucus.senate.gov

Senator Evan Bayh (D-IN)
Chief of Staff
tom_sugar@bayh.senate.gov

Legislative Director
charlie_salem@bayh.senate.gov

Press Secretary/Communications Director
meghan_keck@bayh.senate.gov

Senator Joe Biden (D-DE)
Chief of Staff
alan_hoffman@biden.senate.gov

Legislative Director
jane_woodfin@biden.senate.gov

Press Secretary/Communications Director
elizabeth_alexander@biden.senate.gov

Senator Jeff Bingaman (D-NM)
Chief of Staff
stephen_ward@bingaman.senate.gov

Legislative Director
trudy_vincent@bingaman.senate.gov

Counsel
sunalei_stewart@bingaman.senate.gov

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jude_mccartin@bingaman.senate.gov

Senator Barbara Boxer (D-CA)
Chief of Staff
laura_schiller@boxer.senate.gov

Legislative Director
polly_trottenberg@boxer.senate.gov

Press Secretary/Communications Director
natalie_ravitz@boxer.senate.gov

Senator Sherrod Brown (D-OH)
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jay_heimbach@brown.senate.gov

Legislative Director
ngozi_pole@brown.senate.gov

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joanna_kuebler@brown.senate.gov

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barbara_videnieks@byrd.senate.gov
gail_john@byrd.senate.gov

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Senator Maria Cantwell (D-WA)
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michael_meehan@cantwell.senate.gov

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Senator Ben Cardin (D-MD)
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Policy Director
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Senator Johnson is recovering from a brain hemorrhage and is unable to vote.

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Press Secretary/Communications Director
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20 posted on 06/25/2007 10:12:06 AM PDT by caphillbabe
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