I expect to see Rudy in the single digits soon after Thompson announces.
I am a Thompson fan. But when it comes down to the wire, a bunch of McCain fans will bail to Rudy. He will probably get most of the Ron Paul camp. They’ll split the Romney camp. And lets not forget the 8% don’t know catagory will probably go to Rudy because they are less politically active and will vote for what they see as the safer bet. It will be close.
As for when Thompson announces, no way does he pull ahead of Rudy. He may come close to pulling even. Thats 9 percentage points when most republicans don’t know where he stands.