[Graybeard58]

The way I read it is Rudy’s 28% are the liberal wing of the party, the others and “don’t know” share the other 72% as the field narrows the 72% conservatives aren’t going to Rudy.

[Hazcat]

Hate to brake it to you but Romney, McCain and Rudy are all libs. They add up to 61%.

The ‘conservative’ Republican party has ceased to exist.

[Witchman63]

Pretty bad read. Yeah right, all 72% aren’t going to Rudy. Lets say that one of the top 4 will get the nomination. Rudy will get most of the 8% don’t know catagory because they are inclined to vote for the front runner and because they will go for the moderate. Lets say 4% of that. That makes 12% left over to fight for. If you add that 12% to any of the other four to their numbers, they can’t beat Rudy. And thats a stretch assuming that Rudy wont get any of that 12%. Fred has the only shot because he would probably would pick up more of the 12% than Rudy and because he hasnt announced.

[rhinohunter]

The way I read it is Rudy’s 28% are the liberal wing of the party, the others and “don’t know” share the other 72% as the field narrows the 72% conservatives aren’t going to Rudy.

I agree. I believe Rudy's support level will remain fairly stable while all the other candidates' support will gradually be absorbed by Fred.