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Medicare Meltdown
WSJ ^ | May 9, 2007 | THOMAS R. SAVING

Posted on 05/09/2007 5:01:08 AM PDT by Brilliant

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To: kabar
Congress can change the rules and has so there is no social contract or rights of any kind to receive benefits. When I first paid into the system, the retirement age was 65, now it is 67. SS is a pay as you go system so whatever is paid in by you now is automatically paid out to those collecting benefits. Any "surplus" is used by the USG as part of general revenue. The SS Trust Fund receives an IOU for the "surplus" in the form of non-market T-bills. The SS Trust Fund represents an unfunded liability and is part[about 40%] of our current $9 trillion debt. It is held as "intragovernmental holdings."

I understand all that quite well. There's no "fund" there, just a bunch of T-bills. And T-bills are just IOU's. By the same token, the US government "owns" nothing more than raw political power. But I have political power, too. Not as much as the government, but collectively with all the rest of those in my age peer group, we should be able to get back some of our money that we paid in.

As an aside, those who feel the present system is not "fair" or "unjust" are under no obligation to file for it. One doesn't have to collect it. It's sort of like all the do-gooders who want to do good with someone else's money. If someone feels he isn't paying enough taxes, merely send and extra payment in to the US Treasury. They'll cash the check, I promise you.

101 posted on 05/09/2007 9:31:00 AM PDT by abb (The Dinosaur Media: A One-Way Medium in a Two-Way World)
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To: abb
But I have political power, too. Not as much as the government, but collectively with all the rest of those in my age peer group, we should be able to get back some of our money that we paid in.

Depending on your age, you may get back much more than you paid in. I do find it interesting that you believe that you deserve "to get back some of our money that we paid in." It really isn't your money once you make your contribution. I think I should get back money from my homeowner's policy after paying into it for 30 years without ever making a claim. It does show the unfairness of the SS system and why it should be changed.


102 posted on 05/09/2007 10:00:01 AM PDT by kabar
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To: Brilliant

I have never said anything about abolishing private insurance. One of the solutions would be for everyone to have and pay for their own health insurance. The availability of private insurance is not the problem but instead employer and government provided insurance which fosters higher healthcare costs.

I would love to see Medicare/caid phased out but I know that this is not going to happen because the American people are addicted to government.

I have no problem increasing the supply of doctors if it is done by the free market. I’m simply stating that under our current payer system it will not result in lower costs. If we go back to a fee for service system where the doctor can set his own prices than increasing supply would lower cost. You are right that there are many doctors who want to see supply limited because it would protect their pocketbook (so they think). I’m not one of them. I want a free and open market in which to compete.

I agree with you 100% that socialism is not the answer – it will only make things worse.


103 posted on 05/09/2007 10:06:37 AM PDT by ejroth
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To: abb
Many millions of taxpayers who funded the programs all their working lives would have been robbed of the money put into them.

Let the thieves who did the stealing suffer the usual consequences of an angry mob.

L

104 posted on 05/09/2007 10:08:33 AM PDT by Lurker (Comparing 'moderate' islam to 'extremist' islam is like comparing small pox to plague.)
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To: kabar
I do find it interesting that you believe that you deserve "to get back some of our money that we paid in." It really isn't your money once you make your contribution

Whether or not the money is "mine" or "ours" or the "government's" isn't the issue. I really think I'm entitled to SS benefits and I intend to file for them. Didn't you?

105 posted on 05/09/2007 10:08:49 AM PDT by abb (The Dinosaur Media: A One-Way Medium in a Two-Way World)
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To: kabar

One other minor but important point. The money paid into Social Security wasn’t a “contribution.” It was a tax seized from me by the government at the point of a gun. I had no choice.

I’ve said several times here that I wish there had never been a SS system set up. But that decision was made for me before I was born. So we are all left to fix the thing as best we can. But those who paid shouldn’t be the ones toting the freight.


106 posted on 05/09/2007 10:13:34 AM PDT by abb (The Dinosaur Media: A One-Way Medium in a Two-Way World)
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To: abb

Of course. I will get back more than ten times what I put into it. In just two years, I have got back all of my contributions. It is just the word entitled that makes me cringe since the USG decides what you are really entitled to. They make the rules and can change them at any time.


107 posted on 05/09/2007 10:13:39 AM PDT by kabar (i)
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To: kabar
It is just the word entitled that makes me cringe since the USG decides what you are really entitled to. They make the rules and can change them at any time.

Agreed. The best example is the tax code. Every day the government decides how much of the fuit of my own labor I get to keep. Slavery is nothing more than a 100% tax rate.

108 posted on 05/09/2007 10:20:32 AM PDT by abb (The Dinosaur Media: A One-Way Medium in a Two-Way World)
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To: abb
One other minor but important point. The money paid into Social Security wasn’t a “contribution.” It was a tax seized from me by the government at the point of a gun. I had no choice.

Agreed, it is not voluntary for either you or your employer.

I’ve said several times here that I wish there had never been a SS system set up. But that decision was made for me before I was born. So we are all left to fix the thing as best we can. But those who paid shouldn’t be the ones toting the freight.

We can't fix it. We need to change it. The ones who will be toting the freight for you when you retire are the twenty and thirty somethings. You are toting the freight for folks like me, i.e., you are one of the 3.3 workers supporting each retiree. My parents [now deceased] and I are the ones who have really benefitted from the system. We are getting back far more than we contributed. It worked for us, but it won't work for my daughter. She will be one of the two workers trying to support each retiree.

109 posted on 05/09/2007 10:22:09 AM PDT by kabar
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To: ejroth

I think we’re pretty close in our views. I think the major difference is that I see the current health insurance system as a given.

I really don’t think that having everyone pay for his own health insurance would solve the problem. First of all, individual health insurance is very expensive and difficult to get because like all other kinds of insurance, the underwriters can look at your health history and your claims record. If you make a claim on it, they terminate you. If not, then why have it?

The reason employer based health plans work is that they are insuring a group which is presumably predictable to some degree as to claims. The reason why government plans make a little more sense from an insurance standpoint is that they take the ultimate group—everyone.

If we’re going to have health insurance, then it will most likely be employer or government based. I think that it would be good to go back to a direct pay system, but that’s probably the last thing that is going to happen. The closest we might come is if our present system opts for a very high deductible that effectively makes our health insurance into a catastrophic health care system.

Personally, I don’t see why we should not do that, but it doesn’t look like it’s in the cards, at least at this point.


110 posted on 05/09/2007 10:22:19 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: Brilliant

Your right, individual health insurance is very expensive because the demand is currently low and there are few companies that provide it. If health insurance was like car insurance the picture would be very different. Yes, there is a difficulty with those that have such severe pre-existing conditions that they may not be insurable. But even there I would prefer a solution that does not involve confiscating other people’s money. Individual charity could go a long way just as it used to.

I agree that the current employer/government provider system is not going away anytime soon. The crux is that this system is the problem and healthcare costs will continue to rise unless the system is changed.


111 posted on 05/09/2007 10:56:51 AM PDT by ejroth
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To: abb
abb wrote:
There is a retirement age that would restore the 16:1 ratio again. Whether that is politically possible, I cannot say.

And, pray tell, what age would that be?

Fearless, fearless prediction: it ain't gonna happen.

I doubt you will see the retirement age raised above 70 under ANY circumstances. I pretty much doubt you will see it raised much above 67.

Yes, folks _live_ longer. But the point at which a person's body and mind "wear down" from being able to work competently and full-time in many occupations is about 65+. I realize everyone is an individual, and that _some_ can work at their chosen occupations (or, perhaps the occupations they ended up with in life, even if "unchosen") beyond 70 or so. But reach that age, and the law of diminishing returns kicks in VERY quickly. By age 70 most folks _should_ be retired from full time work.

Again, what age will "restore the 16:1 ratio"?

- John

112 posted on 05/09/2007 2:18:25 PM PDT by Fishrrman
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To: Fishrrman
Again, what age will "restore the 16:1 ratio"?

I haven't a clue. My point was merely to illustrate the actuarial facts of when the scheme was created. I agree the retirement age will not likely be raised enough to bring that ratio back. Not politically possible. Nor is it likely that taxes can be raised very much more. And I can assure you the idea that "those Boomers who saved on their own and don't 'need' SS should give it up" won't happen either.

113 posted on 05/09/2007 2:33:38 PM PDT by abb (The Dinosaur Media: A One-Way Medium in a Two-Way World)
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To: Jim Noble
How may Americans with hard lumps in their necks will wait seven months to be seen, "because it's right"?

Americans will not wait "because it is right." Nevertheless, I fear they will wait.

114 posted on 05/09/2007 6:06:08 PM PDT by outofstyle
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To: kabar

Yes, if you’d read any of my previous posts you’d have seen that supplemental was what I discussed. Supplemental is not primary, however, and that’s the point I was making. There is no choice for “primary” care insurance once you reach medicare age.


115 posted on 05/10/2007 5:58:19 AM PDT by cinives (On some planets what I do is considered normal.)
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