Now that is informative. Kerry polling at 4% within 11 months of the election makes it clear that recent polls mean absolutely nothing.
Well, past is not prologue, but it is pointed out that, in the last 15 republican elections, the person who was first a year before the first primary won the primary season.
Apparently, at least recently, the republicans have been much more set in their candidate than the democrats.
I don’t think the reasons for that fact are applicable in THIS election season, and I’ve argued against such extrapolation before.
I just wanted to note that the democrat polling/primary comparison doesn’t seem to apply to the republican party process, for whatever reason.