“I’ve been looking for a site with historical polling data from election years. My recollection is that at least half the time the early front runner does not get th nomination.”
How Reliable Are the Early Presidential Polls?
by Nilanthi Samaranayake and Scott Keeter
February 14, 2007
http://pewresearch.org/pubs/410/how-reliable-are-the-early-presidential-polls
>>“I’ve been looking for a site with historical polling data from election years. My recollection is that at least half the time the early front runner does not get th nomination.”
http://pewresearch.org/pubs/410/how-reliable-are-the-early-presidential-polls<<
Very interesting. Thank you. So the Republican front runner holds most of the time but its only 50/50 on the Dem side.