I’m anti-Rudy, and I expect him to lead in many polls. He’s the least conservative candidate, causing the conservative vote to split. That will probably happen in about half of the primaires, and he’ll win them with 30%-45% of the vote. During the Republican National Convention, a candidate must win the votes of the majority of delegates to receive the nomination. The majority won’t vote for a candidate who is pro-choice, pro-gay marriage, and pro-gun control.
Many of the state delegations are made up of establishment liberals. They'll be happy to vote for Rudy.
No, he'll have to be beaten in the primaries.
Giuliani would easily get the delegates at the RNC.
...”During the Republican National Convention, a candidate must win the votes of the majority of delegates to receive the nomination. The majority won’t vote for a candidate who is pro-choice, pro-gay marriage, and pro-gun control.”
I agree. There will 2488 delegates to the 2008 convention. Some States are winner-take-all; others are proportional to population or Congressional District. IMHO, withdrawing candidates will release their delegates to the most conservative likely to win. Hint: That’s not Rudy or McCain.