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To: BenLurkin
Escalating hostilities could also result in Iran blockading the Strait of Hormuz, where 20% of the world's oil passes.

Uh, no. You'll remember they tried that before, and it didn't work.

The flip side of that is the more likely scenario. If they don't hand the soldiers over, we'll close the Strait to Iranian shipping, while leaving it open and secure for all others. Iran won't be able to ship oil or receive gasoline, or anything else. Without oil income, and without sufficient gasoline to operate her economy, the pain will be transmitted and felt immediately.

The price of oil will spike temporarily, but Iran won't benefit from the higher prices.

15 posted on 03/29/2007 2:30:12 PM PDT by marron
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To: marron

The wisdom and validity of a selective blockade against Iran grows each day.


17 posted on 03/29/2007 3:12:39 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (GW has more Honor and Integrity in his little finger than ALL of the losers on the "hate Bush" band)
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