Why don't you tack "if it hadn't been for Iraq" on there as well? Because his history is apparently quite solid. You seem to think that those pesky historical events are getting in the way, but that's kinda how history works.
His presumption that 8 for them 8 for us is what is just plain stupid. It is the facts of history that don't make his assertion true.
The 8 and 8 theory falls flat in the face of the facts.
There are plenty of if's and but's in the history of the elections. It is not as cut and dried as the 8 and 8 that he is asserting.