Were the current poll a prediction I would be inclined to agree. However it's asking people what they will do, not what they think might happen.And since most of us here know, at least the member poll, is a pretty good cross section of conservatives, you might not be able to take it to the bank but I bet it's pretty darn close.
Unlike the so called random polls out there that depend on who answers the phone. Which is why they have zero credibility with me,(unless 300 million Americans answer the poll).
Not sure about anyone else but I have caller ID, and unless I recognise the number, the phone does not get answered, instead it gets sent to the answering machine.
"And since most of us here know, at least the member poll, is a pretty good cross section of conservatives, you might not be able to take it to the bank but I bet it's pretty darn close."
I know eight people personally who operate popular conservative blogs on the web and are grassroots organizers in touch with a broad cross section of Republican voters (not bloggers) in their communities on a frequent basis (three of the eight people are in conservative Texas). They all have a distinct impression that Free Republic is ultra-conservative and often avoid FR based on extremism they see here. I wouldn't be so sure that we represent a "pretty good cross section of conservatives" or that FR poll results and opinions of frequent contributors expressed here translate well to reality in the elections.