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Gilliani is Best GOP Hope in Florida (Beats HRC In Head to Head Matchup for Sunshine State)
Angus Reid Global Monitor ^ | 2.12.07 | Quinnipiac University Polling Institute

Posted on 02/14/2007 7:14:04 AM PST by meg88

Giuliani is Best GOP Hope in Florida February 12, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican Rudy Giuliani holds an early lead in the Sunshine State, according to a poll by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

47 per cent of respondents in Florida would vote for the former New York City mayor in the 2008 United States presidential election, while 44 per cent would support Democratic New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton.

In other match-ups, Rodham Clinton leads Arizona senator John McCain by four points, and holds an 18-point advantage over former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney. McCain leads former North Carolina senator John Edwards by one point, and Illinois senator Barack Obama by two points.

In 2004, Republican George W. Bush carried Florida’s 27 electoral votes, with 52 per cent of all cast ballots. In 2000, weeks of recounts and court injunctions concluded in a 537-vote victory for Bush over Democrat Al Gore. Since 1972, the only Democrats to win the Sunshine State in a presidential election are Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Bill Clinton in 1996.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next United States presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were (the Democrat) and (the Republican), for whom would you vote?

Rudy Giuliani (R) 47% - 44% Hillary Rodham Clinton (R) John McCain (R) 43% - 47% Hillary Rodham Clinton (R) Mitt Romney (R) 34% - 52% Hillary Rodham Clinton (R) John McCain (R) 43% - 42% John Edwards (R) John McCain (R) 42% - 40% Barack Obama (R)


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: giuliani; hitlary; rudigiuliani; thegaypatriotsfav
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To: phillyfanatic

I hope he doesn't pick McCain. Surely he'd be smart enough not to do that. McConnell would be a good choice. Or perhaps Cornyn.


221 posted on 02/14/2007 11:08:29 AM PST by Brilliant
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To: dirtboy
There is enough there to keep the party together. Rudy will not be able to.

But why not?

If you are right, then those who would defect, are being silly.

222 posted on 02/14/2007 11:08:45 AM PST by Dr. Frank fan
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To: Dr. Frank fan
If you are right, then those who would defect, are being silly.

The silly ones are those who fail to nominate from the center of the party.

223 posted on 02/14/2007 11:10:46 AM PST by dirtboy (Duncan Hunter 08)
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To: meg88

Who is Gilliani?

P.S.... How hard is it to check the spelling on a headline before you post?


224 posted on 02/14/2007 11:11:51 AM PST by La Enchiladita (Hunter/Poe 2008 "Once again, our government is on the wrong side of the border war")
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To: TitansAFC

" beginning to believe Rudy Giuliani would lose in a landslide"

You believe correctly! Let's hope we don't have to find out!


225 posted on 02/14/2007 11:12:11 AM PST by upsdriver ((Hunter for Pres/ Ann Coulter Sec, of State))
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To: dirtboy
"Hmmm. Now, just how far off from the election were those polls? A few months. Not eleven"

Polls had Republicans losing in November long before the November elections, plus in that Howard Dean example you sited, Howard Dean was ahead in NH just a few weeks before the elections, and still lost.
We are back to square one: You can't take Howard Dean's collapse and apply it all other elections.
Not even close.


"And those were polls over House and Senate races"

Pollsters use different math when calculating House and Senate poll results do they?
Plus of course the control of the House and Senate are the results of individual House and Senate races.
You are still blowing smoke.
226 posted on 02/14/2007 11:13:10 AM PST by ShawTaylor
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To: pgyanke
With 95+% of MSM pieces focusing on Giuliani and McCain and the current "leadership" putting their names out there as well... they are being foisted upon us. There's very little oxygen left in the room for more conservative candidates to gain name-recognition points in this gale.

I don't agree with your conception of what it means to "foist". "foist" would be: a plurality of people prefer one guy, but (the (R) leadership? someone?) tries to talk up another guy. That simply isn't happening. Nearly the opposite of that is happening, in fact.

Indeed, what you're saying is basically that you don't like the preference of people being expressed in these polls, and that you wish a more conservative candidate were... well, foisted on people instead.

227 posted on 02/14/2007 11:13:23 AM PST by Dr. Frank fan
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To: Dr. Frank fan
No, you are not "voting for" her, you are simply forfeiting your only ability to influence the election against her. In other words, you may as well not be voting at all; in an election involving Hillary Clinton, you will have decided to make your voice count for precisely zero.

See, the problem is this. On the issues I hold dear Rudy has said, publicly, he differs little from what Hillary has said her views are. Also, we don't know Rudy's foreign policy plans, or Hillary's for that matter. We can make some inferences, which may or may not be valid, but we don't know.

As a Christian, I believe that we will answer for our actions, and there are some things that can not be justified. I personally believe that abortion is one of those "trip wires".

As a conservative, I am also very much in support of gun rights and limited government. Neither of the currently MSM annointed candidates are for that. Both are for gun control, and expansion of government.

So that leaves foreign policy. Of which we have very little data that Rudy would be better than HRC.

It would depend on his opponent, and what this switch really meant re: Rudy's personality and makeup. Possibly, possibly not.

My fear is this. Many people are pushing Rudy as the anti Hillary with out looking at his views and positions. He has much more in common with her than he does with the current president.

228 posted on 02/14/2007 11:15:08 AM PST by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: redgolum
[..] So that leaves foreign policy. Of which we have very little data that Rudy would be better than HRC.

So basically what you're saying is that between a Giuliani Presidency and a Clinton Presidency, you have no preference whatsoever. In that case it's perfectly rational for you not to vote (or to vote 3rd party). But is that truly what you believe?

229 posted on 02/14/2007 11:16:53 AM PST by Dr. Frank fan
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To: Dr. Frank fan

Then once again I will point out to you... WE ARE IN THE PRIMARIES! This is the time for free and open debate on ALL the candidates.


230 posted on 02/14/2007 11:18:29 AM PST by pgyanke (Gay marriage does to real marriage what counterfeit money does to real money. - Hemogoblin)
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To: Dr. Frank fan
..what I am doing here is questioning the wisdom of those who find Giuliani "unacceptable".

Why? Because those who find Rudy unacceptable under any circumstance have set in their hearts a moral compass directing them against voting for anyone who openly opposes and would undermine their core beliefs?

If you are against abortion for whatever reason and a candidate wants you to defy your conscience, you'd better NOT do it. If you're against SSM and a candidate says you have to accept it if you cast a vote for him you'd best follow your conscience, if you have one, and not do it.

I'm sick of people pretending to be what they're not and that includes those of this party pandering to leftist liberals because all they can see is "winning" the White House. You compromise now. The left will still be around tomorrow wanting you to give in a little more here, a little more there and because you were "tolerant", they'll gladly accept your surrender.

231 posted on 02/14/2007 11:18:44 AM PST by azhenfud (The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God.)
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To: Dr. Frank fan

I believe that both will be similar. Their stated policies are very close.


232 posted on 02/14/2007 11:19:20 AM PST by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: Brilliant

GOTV in the rural areas will be what we rely on. In the long term, if the unfettered illegal immigration continues, the state will flip and become like California, Illinois and New Jersey.


233 posted on 02/14/2007 11:24:26 AM PST by MSF BU
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To: pgyanke
This is the time for free and open debate on ALL the candidates.

You're right of course, but some methods of debate are more rational and defensible than others. Saying you favor whoever over Giuliani in the primary because of positions XYZ is fine. Saying/threatening/bluffing? that you'd vote against Giuliani in the general election, and that's why the rest of us should stay away from Giuliani, is silly (unless you're ok w/a Clinton presidency, like I've said).

234 posted on 02/14/2007 11:24:47 AM PST by Dr. Frank fan
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To: Dr. Frank fan
Nice try. No, Rudy is being foisted because these polls aren't issue oriented... they are name recognition and his is one of the only names out there in the MSM. On the other hand, when people get to know his stance on the issues, his support changes considerably--I have changed many minds by simply quoting Rudy himself. I will continue to call him foisted until I see articles showing his positions which are contrary to the GOP platform.
235 posted on 02/14/2007 11:25:30 AM PST by pgyanke (Gay marriage does to real marriage what counterfeit money does to real money. - Hemogoblin)
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To: Dr. Frank fan

No, you condemn yourself when you purposefully violate the gift of conscience you've been given.


236 posted on 02/14/2007 11:27:05 AM PST by azhenfud (The fool hath said in his heart, There is no God.)
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To: azhenfud
["unacceptable"=silly] Why? Because those who find Rudy unacceptable under any circumstance have set in their hearts a moral compass directing them against voting for anyone who openly opposes and would undermine their core beliefs?

Because someone will become President, and if Giuliani is the (R) nominee, then it's either him, or (presumably) Clinton. To say Giuliani is "unacceptable", even under those circumstances, is to say that a Clinton Presidency is acceptable. Of course, you've basically said as much, so I guess what I'm saying doesn't apply to you.

If you are against abortion for whatever reason and a candidate wants you to defy your conscience, you'd better NOT do it. If you're against SSM and a candidate says you have to accept it if you cast a vote for him you'd best follow your conscience, if you have one, and not do it.

This makes sense if we're talking about the primary. It doesn't make sense if the general election ends up being Clinton v. Giuliani. Because then either candidate (by your assumptions) would hold those positions you dislike, and "not voting for Giuliani" would not be an effective method of influencing those policies either way.

237 posted on 02/14/2007 11:28:05 AM PST by Dr. Frank fan
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To: Merry

"we might as well hand the election over to Hillary."

If we run Rudy, we could just as well.


238 posted on 02/14/2007 11:28:19 AM PST by upsdriver ((Hunter for Pres/ Ann Coulter Sec, of State))
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To: redgolum
I believe that both will be similar. Their stated policies are very close.

I see. Well, now I know where you're coming from.

239 posted on 02/14/2007 11:28:44 AM PST by Dr. Frank fan
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To: Dr. Frank fan
I didn't say I would absolutely vote against him in the general election. I will deal with that when the choice is before me. However, last November is a harbinger of what the GOP can expect if they continue moving left... they will alienate the heart of this country who don't see any real choice in voting as it is.
240 posted on 02/14/2007 11:30:24 AM PST by pgyanke (Gay marriage does to real marriage what counterfeit money does to real money. - Hemogoblin)
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