This is FR, so I'll be blunt; okay?
First of all, it's spelled NEWT and IF he was serious about getting into the primary, he would not be playing coy games and saying that he's not even going to think about it, until September. Newt knows HOW politics works. He also KNOWS that his disapproval ratings are sky high and WHY.
Yes, he has an ego, yes, he is a good speaker....sometimes, but by NOT going after financial and political backing now...he is NOT a "serious" contender. And IF he is sort of serious and waiting in the wings, hoping that one of the top three implodes by September, thinking that he can then sweep in, take over ALL of that person's teams and backing, he is in for a rude awakening!
Duncan Hunter may look good to you on paper, now, but you really don't know everything there is to know about him...yet.
He and Tancredo and Ron Paul and others on the very bottom are fighting an uphill battle, with NO chance of winning. WHY? Because they don't know what they're doing!
Nobody, NOBODY who wants to be president makes a public statement like the Duncan did about not needing 100 million dollars, because he's a Conservative and doesn't need people to tell everyone who he is.
FREEPERS, who are much more attuned to news and politics than the rest of America never heard of him, until his name began popping up on FR as a primary candidate; not even some CALIFORNIA FREEPERS!
To win a primary, you need pots of money, EVEN IF YOU ARE CONSERVATIVE, political backing, name recognition MONTHS, if not years before the first primary begins, and a vast array of advisers, PR guys, teams set up in each state for fund raising as well as to get you talked about in each little community and to begin to set things up for you, so that when you actually get there, you know exactly whereto go, who to see, and what topics are the "hot buttons" there.
I hope that you actually read and then THINK about what I have just explained to you. These are some of the facts of the matter; facts that you MUST face. This is a completely unemotional appraisal I have given you. I don't care WHO you support in the primary, but if you believe that someone who has NOT done anything whatsoever to do the things that MUST be done, RIGHT NOW ( more like months ago ), has any chance of winning the primary, them you and your candidate are delusional.