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A Primer on Space Weather-->Solar Storm: A Concern or No Big Deal?
NOAA Space Environment Center ^ | December 2006 | NOAA SEC

Posted on 12/14/2006 8:01:48 PM PST by bd476

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Range 1 (minor) to 5 (extreme)
NOAA Scale
Geomagnetic Storms
Solar Radiation Storms
Radio Blackouts
     

NOAA Space Weather Scales


The NOAA Space Weather Scales were introduced as a way to communicate to the general public the current and future space weather conditions and their possible effects on people and systems.

Many of the Space Environment Center (SEC) products describe the space environment, but few have described the effects that can be experienced as the result of environmental disturbances.

These scales will be useful to users of our products and those who are interested in space weather effects. The scales describe the environmental disturbances for three event types: geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, and radio blackouts.

The scales have numbered levels, analogous to hurricanes, tornadoes, and earthquakes that convey severity. They list possible effects at each level. They also show how often such events happen, and give a measure of the intensity of the physical causes.

The NOAA Space Weather Scales tables are shown below.

Geomagnetic Storms: disturbances in the geomagnetic field caused by gusts in the solar wind that blows by Earth.
Solar Radiation Storms: elevated levels of radiation that occur when the numbers of energetic particles increase.
Radio Blackouts: disturbances of the ionosphere caused by X-ray emissions from the Sun.

1 posted on 12/14/2006 8:01:54 PM PST by bd476
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To: bd476
"Solar material streaks out through the interplanetary medium, impacting any planets or spacecraft in its path."

Women and minorities hardest hit.

2 posted on 12/14/2006 8:07:11 PM PST by billorites (The People have spoken.... Damn them!)
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Magnetic Storms Affect Humans As Well As Telecommunications

Mount Megantic Magnetic Storm. Plasma from the Sun and debris from a comet both collided with planet Earth last Saturday morning triggering magnetic storms and a meteor shower in a dazzling atmospheric spectacle. The debris stream from comet Swift-Tuttle is anticipated yearly, and many skygazers already planned to watch the peak of the annual Perseids meteor shower in the dark hours of August 11/12. But the simultaneous, widely reported auroras were triggered by the chance arrival of something much less predictable -- a solar coronal mass ejection. This massive bubble of energetic plasma was seen leaving the active Sun's surface on August 9, just in time to travel to Earth and disrupt the planet's magnetic field triggering extensive auroras during the meteor shower's peak! Inspired by the cosmic light show, Sebastien Gauthier photographed the colorful auroral displays above the dramatic dome of the Mount-Megantic Popular Observatory in southern Quebec, Canada. Bright Jupiter and giant star Aldebaran can be seen peering through the shimmering northern lights at the upper right. Image credit: Sebastien Gauthier


by Yury Zaitsev RIA Novosti
Moscow, Russia (SPX) May 29, 2006


It has long been established that magnetic storms not only affect the performance of equipment, upset radio communications, blackout radars, and disrupt radio navigation systems but also endanger living organisms.

They change the blood flow, especially in capillaries, affect blood pressure, and boost adrenalin.

The young and fit couldn't care less, but those who are older, may develop problems. They have to consider the state of magnetosphere in their daily plans. Before, people were glued to weather forecasts. Now they are obsessed with the geomagnetic situation.

But what is a magnetic storm?

Shortly after the launch of the first satellites, mankind discovered the solar wind - a continuous flow of hot plasma from the solar corona. At a distance of 10-12 Earth's radii in the direction of the Sun, where the energy of the solar wind equals that of the Earth's magnetic field, solar wind particles change their direction, and flow around the Earth, forming a comet-like plasma vacuum -- the magnetosphere. The size of its sophisticated but fairly stable structure depends on solar wind pressure, and hence, on solar activity.

The tail of the magnetosphere, which stretches for hundreds of thousands of kilometers in the direction opposite to the Sun, accumulates magnetic energy. From time to time, it is released in explosions, which heat up plasma, and create powerful electric currents (millions of amperes). When such bursts follow one another, the magnetosphere is filled to capacity with hot plasma, while its electric currents embrace the entire near-Earth space. These phenomena are referred to as magnetic storms.

The heart and cardio-vascular system have always been considered the main biological targets of geomagnetic activity. However, the damage inflicted by magnetic storms on human health has been found to be different.

Experts from the Institute of Space Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Institute of Physics of the Earth (RAS), and the Sechenov Moscow Medical Academy have established that the biggest danger emanates from the micro variations of the geomagnetic field, which coincide with the heartbeat.

They occur in about half of all magnetic storms, and are most typical for a prelude to a storm with insignificant changes in the geomagnetic field (mostly affecting high altitudes), and for the recovery phase, when the geomagnetic field is coming back to normal.

Medical statistics for Moscow show that 70% of all micro variations, caused by geomagnetic disturbances, are accompanied by an abnormally high incidence of heart attacks (a growth of about 13%), and blood-strokes (7.5% growth).

The low and extremely low frequency electromagnetic fields destabilize the heartbeat, leading to a sudden death or infarction.

Medical experts have finally explained why heart attacks take a heavy toll before a magnetic storm - because micro variations begin 24 hours before the storm.

"We have analyzed numerous data on the heartbeat of cosmonauts from all Soyuz crews, and the majority of missions to the Mir Station and the International Space Station," said Doctor Tamara Breus (Physics and Mathematics) from the Russian Academy of Sciences' Institute of Space Studies, who heads of a group of physics and physicians, studying this problem.

"We subjected 45 cosmonauts to examination during landing and flights of various duration, when they were exposed to geomagnetic disturbance, and then studied the same parameters in a neutral situation,” he said.

"The influence of a magnetic storm was obvious. It was manifest in a change of pulse and blood pressure, vegetative disorders, reduction of heartbeat rate variability and the power of respiratory undulations, and in a more irregular heartbeat pattern. Reactions varied depending on the duration of the flights and an ability of cosmonauts to adapt themselves to the new environment."

In the opinion of Dr. Breus, these effects were a reaction of the vascular tonus and heartbeat rhythm to magnetic storms.

It is perfectly obvious that the response of such a complicated system as the human organism to external factors largely depends on its condition. A magnetic storm is not dangerous for healthy people.

But there are risk groups with unstable biological status. These include people suffering from ischemic disorders or hypertension, or children whose adaptation system is the process of formation. Newly born are particularly at risk.

"We think that simply forecasting storms is counterproductive because people merely get scared as a result," said Dr. Breus. "But steady micro variations are different. We should concentrate on this in forecasting geomagnetic disturbances."

What is the situation with forecasts today?

Owing to the research, conducted under the comprehensive program of Interbol, scientists better understand the nature of cause-and-effect connections in the near and remote space, which helps them develop the methods of space weather forecasts, that is, distance and time variations of space parameters caused by solar activity.

Since 1994, Russia has been implementing its KORONAS program (Comprehensive Orbital Near-Earth Monitoring of Solar Activity) with a series of space vehicles. The third satellite - KORONAS-Foton - will be launched under the program in 2007.

Continuous monitoring of the solar wind is critical for space weather forecasts. The Chibis micro satellites, which are being developed by the Institute of Space Studies, will be working to this end in low-orbit ionosphere in the near future.

Space vehicles of the Institute's another project - Resonans - will do the monitoring in the internal magnetosphere, and the radiation belts. One more satellite - probably the same Chibis - will stay at the top - in the so-called libration point at a distance of about one and a half million kilometers from the Earth.

The gravitational forces of the Earth and the Sun are essentially in balance at this point, and for this reason a space vehicle may "linger on" for a long time near the Sun-Earth line, along which harmful solar corona ejections move, timely reporting the emergence of dangerous solar bursts.

To receive an earlier warning, a space vehicle may be "removed" even further from the Earth. Researchers from the Institute of Space Studies have developed a project called Klipper (not to be confused with a new Russian re-usable piloted spaceship), which provides for placing micro satellites at a distance of 3 to 4 million kilometers from the Earth in the Sunward direction.

This is twice further than the libration point. "Excessive" gravitation of the Sun (compared to the libration point) will be compensated for by the pressure of sunlight on a sail made of fine metallic-like coating on board the satellites. In this way, researchers will be able to stabilize the satellites at a certain point in space, or move them closer to the Sun by handling the reflecting sail.

In other words, they will manipulate the reflecting powers of the material from which it is made. For instance, if a liquid-crystal fiber is installed between a source of light (the Sun in this case), and the sail, it is possible to change the transparency of the fiber by putting it under electric voltage (or removing it).

Its reflecting powers may be changed from mirror reflection to total absorption. This will affect the pressure of light on the sail, causing a change in the direction and speed of the satellite's movement in space.

A project of solar research at a closer distance - Intergeliozond - is designed for a more remote perspective. It will make it possible to see the Sun's polar zones, which are invisible from the Earth.

Source: RIA Novosti

Magnetic Storms Affect Humans As Well As Telecommunications

SOLAR SCIENCE

3 posted on 12/14/2006 8:18:29 PM PST by bd476
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To: billorites
LOL!....and, you forgot, "Bush's Fault"
:)

4 posted on 12/14/2006 8:27:54 PM PST by skinkinthegrass (Just b/c your paranoid; Doesn't mean they're NOT out to get you. :^)
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To: skinkinthegrass
Medical statistics for Moscow show that 70% of all micro variations, caused by geomagnetic disturbances, are accompanied by an abnormally high incidence of heart attacks (a growth of about 13%), and blood-strokes (7.5% growth).

Interesting. Any similar data for the U.S.? Maybe Senator Tim Johnson's stroke was precipitated by the solar storm.

5 posted on 12/14/2006 8:36:28 PM PST by LibFreeOrDie (L'Chaim!)
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To: billorites
billorites wrote: "Women and minorities hardest hit."

From the article:

"They change the blood flow, especially in capillaries, affect blood pressure, and boost adrenalin.

The young and fit couldn't care less, but those who are older, may develop problems. They have to consider the state of magnetosphere in their daily plans.

...Experts from the Institute of Space Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Institute of Physics of the Earth (RAS), and the Sechenov Moscow Medical Academy have established that the biggest danger emanates from the micro variations of the geomagnetic field, which coincide with the heartbeat.

They occur in about half of all magnetic storms, and are most typical for a prelude to a storm with insignificant changes in the geomagnetic field (mostly affecting high altitudes), and for the recovery phase, when the geomagnetic field is coming back to normal.

Medical statistics for Moscow show that 70% of all micro variations, caused by geomagnetic disturbances, are accompanied by an abnormally high incidence of heart attacks (a growth of about 13%), and blood-strokes (7.5% growth).

The low and extremely low frequency electromagnetic fields destabilize the heartbeat, leading to a sudden death or infarction.

Medical experts have finally explained why heart attacks take a heavy toll before a magnetic storm - because micro variations begin 24 hours before the storm.

...But there are risk groups with unstable biological status. These include people suffering from ischemic disorders or hypertension, or children whose adaptation system is the process of formation. Newly born are particularly at risk.

"We think that simply forecasting storms is counterproductive because people merely get scared as a result," said Dr. Breus. "But steady micro variations are different. We should concentrate on this in forecasting geomagnetic disturbances."

Magnetic Storms Affect Humans As Well As Telecommunications


6 posted on 12/14/2006 8:37:12 PM PST by bd476
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To: bd476

CTV.ca - Flare image 'Courtesy of SOHO consortium. SOHO is a project of international cooperation between ESA and NASA.'

7 posted on 12/14/2006 8:40:40 PM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ...... Merry Something PC.)
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To: LibFreeOrDie; skinkinthegrass
LibFreeOrDie wrote: "...Maybe Senator Tim Johnson's stroke was precipitated by the solar storm."

That is interesting timing. It would also be interesting to find out exactly when Senator Johnson's stroke-like symptoms (slurred speech, etc.) first began.

More:

"Experts from the Institute of Space Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Institute of Physics of the Earth (RAS), and the Sechenov Moscow Medical Academy have established that the biggest danger emanates from the micro variations of the geomagnetic field, which coincide with the heartbeat.

They occur in about half of all magnetic storms, and are most typical for a prelude to a storm with insignificant changes in the geomagnetic field (mostly affecting high altitudes), and for the recovery phase, when the geomagnetic field is coming back to normal."



8 posted on 12/14/2006 8:47:55 PM PST by bd476
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To: NormsRevenge
Thanks for posting the cool SOHO photo, Norm. Did you see this?

Magnetic Storms Affect Humans As Well As Telecommunications

9 posted on 12/14/2006 8:50:21 PM PST by bd476
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To: bd476

No, hadn't seen that, Thanks!

Depending on the intensity of the storm, it could literally 'fry' folks..


10 posted on 12/14/2006 8:57:53 PM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ...... Merry Something PC.)
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To: NormsRevenge; Brad's Gramma; metmom; Syncro; BurbankKarl; onyx; Global2010; Lijahsbubbe; Cindy; ...
This is a very cool realistic animation made by NASA which shows the Sun sending a coronal mass ejection to Earth. It is well worth the wait.

Animation of CME impact on Earth's magnetosphere

8.9 MB MPEG file
Courtesy of NASA's IMAGE mission


Coronal Mass Ejections

Large flares are often associated with huge ejections of mass from the Sun, although the association is not clear. These coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are balloon-shaped bursts of solar wind rising above the solar corona, expanding as they climb.

Solar plasma is heated to tens of millions of degrees, and electrons, protons, and heavy nuclei are accelerated to near the speed of light. The super-heated electrons from CMEs move along the magnetic field lines faster than the solar wind can flow.

Rearrangement of the magnetic field, and solar flares may result in the formation of a shock that accelerates particles ahead of the CME loop.

Each CME releases up to 100 billion kg (220 billion lb) of this material, and the speed of the ejection can reach 1000 km/second (2 million mph) in some flares.

Solar flares and CMEs are currently the biggest "explosions" in our solar system, roughly approaching the power in ONE BILLION hydrogen bombs!

Fast CMEs occur more often near the peak of the 11-year solar cycle, and can trigger major disturbances in Earth's magnetosphere, known as space weather.

Coronal Mass Ejections

11 posted on 12/14/2006 9:18:12 PM PST by bd476
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To: bd476


Placemark and thanks for the ping.

====== placemark ======


12 posted on 12/14/2006 9:19:19 PM PST by onyx (Phillip Rivers, LT and the San Diego Chargers! WOO-HOO!)
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To: onyx
You're welcome, Onyx. While you're over here, check out the article I found explaining how health can be affected by Solar storms:

Medical statistics for Moscow show that 70% of all micro variations, caused by geomagnetic disturbances, are accompanied by an abnormally high incidence of heart attacks (a growth of about 13%), and blood-strokes (7.5% growth).

The low and extremely low frequency electromagnetic fields destabilize the heartbeat, leading to a sudden death or infarction.

Medical experts have finally explained why heart attacks take a heavy toll before a magnetic storm - because micro variations begin 24 hours before the storm.

#9 Magnetic Storms Affect Humans As Well As Telecommunications

13 posted on 12/14/2006 9:26:13 PM PST by bd476
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To: bd476

There's a lot of rather wacky science stuff that comes out of Russia that people need to take with Asteroid-sized boulders of salt.


14 posted on 12/14/2006 9:26:54 PM PST by Strategerist
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To: bd476


I shall! Thank you so much. Right after he goes to bed, I will indulge!


15 posted on 12/14/2006 9:27:11 PM PST by onyx (Phillip Rivers, LT and the San Diego Chargers! WOO-HOO!)
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To: NormsRevenge
You're welcome Norm. :-)

16 posted on 12/14/2006 9:27:27 PM PST by bd476
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To: Strategerist
The only wacky science stuff I see are your comments on anything.

If you have a legitimate article which debunks the article in question, post it now, or take your negative attitude somewhere else.


17 posted on 12/14/2006 9:42:24 PM PST by bd476
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National Institute of Health

Biomed Pharmacother. 2004 Oct;58 Suppl 1:S150-87.



Halberg F, Cornelissen G, Regal P, Otsuka K, Wang Z, Katinas GS, Siegelova J, Homolka P, Prikryl P, Chibisov SM, Holley DC, Wendt HW, Bingham C, Palm SL, Sonkowsky RP, Sothern RB, Pales E, Mikulecky M, Tarquini R, Perfetto F, Salti R, Maggioni C, Jozsa R, Konradov AA, Kharlitskaya EV, Revillam M, Wan C, Herold M, Syutkina EV, Masalov AV, Faraone P, Singh RB, Singh RK, Kumar A, Singhs R, Sundaram S, Sarabandi T, Pantaleoni G, Watanabe Y, Kumagai Y, Gubin D, Uezono K, Olah A, Borer K, Kanabrockia EA, Bathina S, Haus E, Hillman D, Schwartzkopff O, Bakken EE, Zeman M.

"Chronoastrobiology: are we at the threshold of a new science? Is there a critical mass for scientific research?"

Halberg Chronobiology Center, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.

"...The evidence already mentioned that fluctuations in solar magnetism can influence gross clinical phenomena such as rates of strokes and heart attacks, and related cardiovascular variables such as blood pressure and heart rate, should illustrate the point that the door is open to broad studies of clinical implications.

The medical value of better understanding magnetic fluctuations as sources of variability in human physiology falls into several categories:

1) The design of improved analytical and experimental controls in medical research.

Epidemiological analyses require that the multiple sources causing variability in physiological functions and clinical phenomena be identified and understood as thoroughly as possible, in order to estimate systematic alterations of any one variable.

2) Preventive medicine and the individual patients'care. There are no flat 'baselines', only reference chronomes. Magnetic fluctuations can be shown statistically to exacerbate health problems in some cases.

The next step should be to determine whether vulnerable individuals can be identified by individual monitoring.

Such vulnerable patients may then discover that they have the option to avoid circumstances associated with anxiety during solar storms, and/or pay special attention to their medication or other treatments.

Prehabilitation by self-help can hopefully complement and eventually replace much costly rehabilitation.

3) Basic understanding of human physiological mechanisms. The chronomic organization of physiology implies a much more subtle dynamic integration of functions than is generally appreciated.

All three categories of medical value in turn pertain to the challenges for space science of exploring and colonizing the solar system.

The earth's native magnetic field acts like an enormous umbrella that offers considerable protection on the surface from harsh solar winds of charged particles and magnetic fluxes.

The umbrella becomes weaker with distance from the earth and will offer little protection for humans, other animals, and plants in colonies on the surface of the moon or beyond.

Thus it is important before more distant colonization is planned or implemented to better understand those magnetism-related biological- solar interactions that now can be studied conveniently on earth.

NIH PubMed

18 posted on 12/14/2006 10:05:54 PM PST by bd476
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To: bd476

Thank you for the ping bd476.


19 posted on 12/14/2006 10:06:45 PM PST by Cindy
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To: bd476


This is quite amazing.
GOOD stuff.
Your work is much appreciated.
Thanks again for the ping.


20 posted on 12/14/2006 10:08:16 PM PST by onyx (Phillip Rivers, LT and the San Diego Chargers! WOO-HOO!)
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