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Sirius Shares Fall 7% On Lower Subs Forecast(Sirius/XM merger?)
Radioandrecords.com ^ | Dec. 05, 2006 | Jeffrey Yorke

Posted on 12/05/2006 4:06:58 PM PST by MovementConservative

Shares of Sirius Satellite Radio fell more than 7%, or 30 cents, to $3.89 a share in the first 30 minutes of trading Tuesday morning (Dec. 5) after the satcaster cut its year-end subscriber forecast by 200,000 to 6.1 million. Shares of SIRI hit a low of $3.75 at 9:48 a.m. before beginning a slight rebound.

After the stock market closed Monday evening (Dec. 4), Sirius CEO Mel Karmazin issued a statement noting that sales of satellite receivers since the Thanksgiving weekend “have not been at the pace we had anticipated. We are updating our year-end 2006 subscriber guidance to between 5.9 million and 6.1 million.”

The move by Sirius reverberated on Wall Street as analysts began slashing their ratings on the satcaster, sparking a new wave of predictions that Sirius would have to merge with its rival, XM Satellite Radio, to survive.

“I have to tell you, I thought that without a merger with XM, these two companies might not create a lot of wealth in the next few years,” wrote Wall Street gadfly Jim Cramer in his RealMoney.com column posted this morning on TheStreet.com. “Mel convinced me I was wrong," he continued. “I wasn't. I blew it. I should have stuck to my guns. I feel embarrassed. And I don't like it,” bemoaned Cramer, who also hosts CNBC’s “Mad Money.” “Mel had been money in the bank. Everyone deserves one strike. But in my league, two strikes and you're out.

“Even a half-strike more and you're out in this satellite game,” Cramer continued. ”If Mel hits the low end of the range or doesn't hit it at all -- both entirely possible if sales don't pick up in the next two weeks -- this one's done for, without a merger.”

Bear Stearns satellite analyst Robert Peck cut his rating on Sirius to underperform, noting a weak retail environment and the fact that Sirius is losing ground to XM in the race to have new car manufacturers insert its receivers in new cars. Morgan Joseph’s David Kestenbaum, meanwhile, slashed his rating on Sirius to hold.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News
KEYWORDS: jimnorden; moonachie; nortonandfriends
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1 posted on 12/05/2006 4:07:02 PM PST by MovementConservative
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To: MovementConservative

So how much did Howard Stern lose? LOL!


2 posted on 12/05/2006 4:08:21 PM PST by TommyDale (Iran President Ahmadinejad is shorter than Tom Daschle!)
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To: MovementConservative

XM and Opie and Anthony are better anyway.

See ya Howie.


3 posted on 12/05/2006 4:08:58 PM PST by VegasCowboy ("...he wore his gun outside his pants, for all the honest world to feel.")
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To: MovementConservative

Would the Feds allow a merger?


4 posted on 12/05/2006 4:09:34 PM PST by ivyleaguebrat
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To: MovementConservative
...after the satcaster cut its year-end subscriber forecast by 200,000 to 6.1 million.

I was probably one of the 200,000. My car came with the Sirius radio and a free year's service. Never used it. Despite repeated phone calls, emails and letters from them, I won't be renewing

5 posted on 12/05/2006 4:10:56 PM PST by Vermonter
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To: TommyDale
So how much did Howard Stern lose? LOL!

If he were smart, he would have sold the stock the second he got it. This chart tracking the stock for the last six months speaks volumes.

Photobucket - Video and Image Hosting

6 posted on 12/05/2006 4:18:33 PM PST by MovementConservative (Getting back to principled conservatism.)
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To: VegasCowboy
See ya Howie.

I guess we'll see him soon, shuffling the streets, mumbling profanity and exposing himself to passersby.

In other words, the only change is he'll be outside.

7 posted on 12/05/2006 4:20:01 PM PST by atomicpossum (Replies must follow approved guidelines or you will be kill-filed without appeal.)
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To: MovementConservative

Stern and Karmazin will raid the company for whatever money it has left before chapter 11, and leave shareholders holding the bag.


8 posted on 12/05/2006 4:20:29 PM PST by Proud_USA_Republican (We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good. - Hillary Clinton)
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To: ivyleaguebrat

Not sure they'd care. What's 100 percent of a peanut market ?


9 posted on 12/05/2006 4:24:57 PM PST by Eric in the Ozarks (BTUs are my Beat.)
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To: TommyDale
After all Stern's pontificating that all the world would follow him to satellite radio. IMHO his demographics would never spend the money for satellite radio.
10 posted on 12/05/2006 4:26:22 PM PST by Conservative4Ever
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To: Conservative4Ever

The only reason they talk merger is to keep the stock up while they sell all their insider shares.


11 posted on 12/05/2006 4:27:01 PM PST by BurbankKarl
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To: Conservative4Ever

Why would anyone spend money to listen to radio?


12 posted on 12/05/2006 4:29:25 PM PST by rivercat (The first thing we do, let's kill all the lawyers. - William Shakespeare)
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To: MovementConservative
This could be Sirius, but not Hughes.


13 posted on 12/05/2006 4:30:21 PM PST by Larry Lucido
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To: dcam

do you spend money to watch TV?


14 posted on 12/05/2006 4:32:26 PM PST by BurbankKarl
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To: dcam

We've been over this in detail. People who live in rural areas or travel a lot find satellite invaluable.


15 posted on 12/05/2006 4:33:41 PM PST by MovementConservative (Getting back to principled conservatism.)
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To: MovementConservative

Sounds like the Quadrasonic versus 8-Track battle from the 1970s. Not quite the same, as they were 2 different technologies, but you know what I mean. Okay, I'm wrong, but I'm going to hit "Post" anyway.


16 posted on 12/05/2006 4:34:43 PM PST by Azzurri
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To: TommyDale
So how much did Howard Stern lose? LOL!

Yeah, he's down to his last 150 million. What a drag!

17 posted on 12/05/2006 4:35:54 PM PST by wireman
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To: MovementConservative
Sirius is losing ground to XM in the race to have new car manufacturers insert its receivers in new cars.

Ultimately, sustained business must originate from receivers in new cars, as it is passive. If new cars came with no radios at all, and you had to go aftermarket to install one, only a minority of people might go out and get radio's installed.

Right now, Sirius = Stern, and I'll bet a lot of new car makers don't want baggage like that.

18 posted on 12/05/2006 4:36:08 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: MovementConservative

I like Sirius. Good selection but it didn't take long to notice they looped their music way too often.

All they had to do was change up their selection way more often on my favorite channels and I'd still be there.


19 posted on 12/05/2006 4:37:35 PM PST by VeniVidiVici (What's the one elected position Ted Kennedy has never held? Designated Driver.)
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To: MovementConservative

This is series.


20 posted on 12/05/2006 4:38:05 PM PST by Paleo Conservative (Karl Rove isn't magnificent.)
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