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To: K4Harty

"check the internals, MAJOR oversample of RATS!"

Same line we heard all up until the elections. Turns out those polls were right.


106 posted on 11/11/2006 9:16:41 PM PST by SmoothTalker
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To: SmoothTalker; DrDeb
Same line we heard all up until the elections. Turns out those polls were right.

No. "The polls" were not right.

Some polls were right. Newsweek definitely was not right. They wildly overstated the Democrat advantage on the generic ballot at +16%. CNN's poll had it plus 20%

When the dust was settled, the Democrat's had 7% more of the vote for House candidates than Republicans did, which is exactly what the ABC and Gallup polls were predicting.

111 posted on 11/11/2006 9:58:56 PM PST by Omega Man II
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To: SmoothTalker
Actually, there is a false sense of security in it. Here's my theory.

The polling always ovesamples RATS. We know that for a fact. This year it predicted a win and they got it. Lame Stream Media is fawning over themselves and auto-eroticating themselves (yeah, I made that a verb, so what)and beginning to believe the lie.

Problem is that it was right not because they turned out RATS but because CONS stayed home in protest.

In a few years you will hear about how accurate the polls were "last time" and once again they will screw the pooch when the CONS show up, if they show up, if the GOP gives us out party back. IMO

115 posted on 11/12/2006 5:31:14 AM PST by IllumiNaughtyByNature (If a pug barks and no one is around to hear it... they hold a grudge for a long time!)
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