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To: FairOpinion
"Read the document at the link. It's 85 pages with a lot of detail, providing lots of evidence for their summary statements."

Republican turnout means real republicans turning out and that can only be determined as I pointed out in post 24. I just looked at the doc. All it shows is lumped turnout of people voting R and people voting D. Those numbers include a large percentage of people that are swayed at each election. The real republican turnout is buried in those numbers and can not be extracted from anything they've shown. It requires an extensive analysis which is way beyond the simple they did.

Just because 20K peole vote R, does not mean their are 20K republicans. The number is always much less that and it's buried in the lump sum with the "independent", or switch hit voter.

36 posted on 11/11/2006 1:07:02 AM PST by spunkets
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To: Jim Robinson

The paper linked to this thread has some of the vote statistics you were looking for the other day. It includes 50 states. However they still don't show what the base did.

You were looking to see if the R base was effected in some way. Simple turnout numbers and percentage results won't show that. Those numbers will be clouded by all the various effects of the campaign, various events and the etherial thoughts in the heads of the "independent" voters that appear at various times to vote R. IOWs they don't show what the base R voter did. It shows the gross effect of what all voters did.

This paper shows an overall turnout increase and the rats got the votes from that increase. I can't see in this gross data any indicaiton that the real R base, voters that consistently show up and vote straight R by conviciton failed to show up and vote. I also can't call a person that votes for an R once, then votes D some other time a republican.


201 posted on 11/11/2006 10:54:13 PM PST by spunkets
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