I know. IMO, the republican GOTV effort is overly reliant on absentee voting. Too often these votes are never counted, because of some statistical model says it won't change an end result. Many races, even if still lost, would be shown to be much closer if these votes were tabulated as they should be.
If the GOTV pushed actually getting to the polls, it would positively effect exit polling and early returns, which in turn would effect evening voting patterns.
As the purpose of the absentee ballot changed from necessity to convenience, the tradition of Tuesday elections makes a Monday post mark acceptable to all but a few Election Commissioners regardless of when the ballot arrives and, of course, many simply turn in their absentee ballots at the polls on election day.
The result is a flood of last minute ballots, unrepresentative exit poll sampling and accurate vote totals that lag election day by as much as weeks.
Compounding this problem will be electronic voting machines which will motivate many to seek the paper trail security of the absentee ballot.
It's kinda hard to start crunching numbers when they keep changing them, lol. I still don't see any indication that Conservatives didn't vote.
In looking at the numbers, it looks to me like about 700,000 Dems voted for Arnold instead of Angelides. During the Recall, Arnold and McClintock combined got 62% of the vote, both running on a fiscally conservative agenda (Cruz got 31%). By comparison, Arnold now got only 50% of the vote (Angelides 39%), despite moving far, far to the left.