I don't live in JD's District, so I can't say for sure. From what I've heard his district has been becoing increasingly Democratic, and he's been on the Donks' "Hit list" for a while now.
There were numerous ads on the radio down here in Tucson (JD is up in the Phoenix area) attacking JD and Dubya for the high cost of Medicare. Basically saying that "JD and the President conspired to kill old people."
JD is a fine man - they are counting absentee ballots and I hope he wins.
I heard some of those - the repubs betray their base by expanding medical coverage for old folks, and the ads focused on what was NOT given!
It was kind of like, "They've started paying for my house, but won't pay for my car - and I NEED my car. Throw those bums out!"
Greedy bastards.