I think that the call in New Jersey is wrong.
Take a look at those exit polls, if you can stomach it. Leaving aside the rest of the problems with them, if Kean's picking up more than half of all independents, he's going to win.
And there's no damned way that more Republicans are voting for Menenedez than Democrat voting for Kean.
Adjusted exit polls for NJ should be a range for Kean winning by 1 point or losing by 1 point. I wouldn't have called it yet.