I think in Ohio it's the real deal; based on a friend who lives in Ohio and is very upset with the GOP because of all the good-paying jobs (including her husbands) that have gone away due to outsourcing. They are moving to Florida and she "used" to be a conservative.
The main reason Ohio continues to lose jobs is that it's a very anti-business state. It will be even worse with the 'Rats in power.