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Warning: What to Expect
Self | 11/7/06 | LS

Posted on 11/07/2006 4:29:51 PM PST by LS

All right, folks. Guess I have to do it again around here and hand out the chill pills.

1) It is absolutely clear to me that we have won this. We will keep the Senate, and I'm 90% sure we keep the House. We'll probably gain a seat, maybe two in the Senate.

2) I know this from the turnout numbers, just as I did in 2004. The fact is, forget Indies. They don't vote in high numbers. It's all about the two parties, and who gets out their base.

We have done that today beyond my wildest expectations. The info we have from the Hotline on turnout is overwhelming, and in virtually every key state, we have exceeded Dem turnout by 2, 3, 4, or 6%.

As I predicted, we are seeing a Dem UNDERVOTE. They are underperforming, esp. in key states such as OH. However, they are underperforming far worse than even I dreamed. We are looking at 20% in Cuyahoga County! Brown and Strickland couldn't get elected dog catcher with that level of support.

SO HERE IS WHAT TO EXPECT: THE MEDIA IDIOTS HAVE THEIR TEMPLATES. THEY WILL BE VERY SLOW TO COME AROUND. IT WILL BE A LONG NIGHT, BECAUSE THEY WON'T BELIEVE THEIR EYES.

They may even "call" a few House races, maybe a Senate race, based on some ridiculously low "exit poll" and have to recant later. Be patient. The turnout numbers suggest we absolutely cannot lose.


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: democrats; election; imdrunk; realclearamateur; republicans; returns; roveyoudumbass; thisguyhasnoclue; toast; wasteofbandwidth; whothhellisthisguy
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My only caveat would be if Republicans indeed hated the GOP so much that they would all vote for Dems.
1 posted on 11/07/2006 4:29:53 PM PST by LS
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To: LS

From your lips...


2 posted on 11/07/2006 4:30:32 PM PST by Peach (The Clintons pardoned more terrorists than they captured or killed.)
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To: Peach

ditto that.


3 posted on 11/07/2006 4:30:57 PM PST by Kylie_04 (not consuming liquids while posting since 2006)
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To: LS

I do hope you are correct.


4 posted on 11/07/2006 4:31:10 PM PST by Keith in Iowa (Liberals: People whose relationship to reality appears to be somewhat tenuous.)
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To: LS

May you be right.....


5 posted on 11/07/2006 4:31:13 PM PST by The Wizard (DemonRATS: enemies of America)
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To: Peach

Hope you are right on this one LS!!!


6 posted on 11/07/2006 4:31:19 PM PST by roostercogburn
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To: LS
I'm bouncing in my chair right now. Holy carp, gains?! I would have been happy with the Dems bucking historical trends by catastrophically failing to pick up either house, but expanding our majority? Just damn.
7 posted on 11/07/2006 4:31:30 PM PST by Gordongekko909 (Mark 5:9)
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To: LS

Concerned with OH, appears the DNC is pullong out all the cards there...


8 posted on 11/07/2006 4:31:42 PM PST by PigRigger (Donate to http://www.AdoptAPlatoon.org - The Troops have our front covered, let's guard their backs!)
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To: All

Folks, listen to professor LS and heed, well, his sage words. He has the Cedric Seal Of Approval!


9 posted on 11/07/2006 4:31:47 PM PST by Cedric
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To: LS

Hugh Hewitt is sharing your enthusiasm on the turnout numbers. Thanks so much for your optimism and hard work...


10 posted on 11/07/2006 4:31:49 PM PST by eureka! (Heaven forbid the Rats get control of Congress and/or the Presidency any time soon....)
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To: LS
I'm not nearly as convinced as you are friend, but I am hopeful.

If we hold Sodrel, Chocola, Davis and Northup's seats, I will breathe much easier.

11 posted on 11/07/2006 4:32:00 PM PST by comebacknewt
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To: LS

Who cares about the exit polls when hundreds of thousands of absentee voters and early voters don't figure in exit polls? The msm is still stuck in the 1990s.


12 posted on 11/07/2006 4:32:20 PM PST by kittymyrib
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To: LS

LS, the turnout numbers here in MO adds credence to your post. I was never really worried about the Senate, but the House is another story..


13 posted on 11/07/2006 4:32:22 PM PST by cardinal4
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To: LS

Ping

a ping , so i can come back and say you were right.


14 posted on 11/07/2006 4:32:36 PM PST by Para-Ord.45
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To: LS
Your assessment seems sound so far...
15 posted on 11/07/2006 4:32:41 PM PST by kinoxi
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To: cardinal4

bump


16 posted on 11/07/2006 4:32:52 PM PST by Risha (Rebellion to tyrants is obedience to God)
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To: LS

I wish I had your confidence. I hope you are right.


17 posted on 11/07/2006 4:32:58 PM PST by Uncle Hal
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To: LS

Ping!


18 posted on 11/07/2006 4:33:12 PM PST by chad_in_georgia
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To: LS

save


19 posted on 11/07/2006 4:33:12 PM PST by soupcon
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To: LS

:-D

BTTT to calm the fears.


20 posted on 11/07/2006 4:33:14 PM PST by pollyannaish
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