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Warning: What to Expect
Self | 11/7/06 | LS

Posted on 11/07/2006 4:29:51 PM PST by LS

All right, folks. Guess I have to do it again around here and hand out the chill pills.

1) It is absolutely clear to me that we have won this. We will keep the Senate, and I'm 90% sure we keep the House. We'll probably gain a seat, maybe two in the Senate.

2) I know this from the turnout numbers, just as I did in 2004. The fact is, forget Indies. They don't vote in high numbers. It's all about the two parties, and who gets out their base.

We have done that today beyond my wildest expectations. The info we have from the Hotline on turnout is overwhelming, and in virtually every key state, we have exceeded Dem turnout by 2, 3, 4, or 6%.

As I predicted, we are seeing a Dem UNDERVOTE. They are underperforming, esp. in key states such as OH. However, they are underperforming far worse than even I dreamed. We are looking at 20% in Cuyahoga County! Brown and Strickland couldn't get elected dog catcher with that level of support.

SO HERE IS WHAT TO EXPECT: THE MEDIA IDIOTS HAVE THEIR TEMPLATES. THEY WILL BE VERY SLOW TO COME AROUND. IT WILL BE A LONG NIGHT, BECAUSE THEY WON'T BELIEVE THEIR EYES.

They may even "call" a few House races, maybe a Senate race, based on some ridiculously low "exit poll" and have to recant later. Be patient. The turnout numbers suggest we absolutely cannot lose.


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: democrats; election; imdrunk; realclearamateur; republicans; returns; roveyoudumbass; thisguyhasnoclue; toast; wasteofbandwidth; whothhellisthisguy
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To: beckysueb

That was what the contract on tradesport indicated. We will see tonight if it was a prediction or not. ;)


401 posted on 11/07/2006 6:23:21 PM PST by Leto
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To: snarkytart
Did you ever wonder if some Rats noted Tradesports accuracy and got some money to invest there from Soros?

I don't pay any attention until there are actual votes. Good night.

402 posted on 11/07/2006 6:23:42 PM PST by Miss Marple (Lord, please look over Mozart Lover's and Jemian's sons and keep them strong.```````````````````````)
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To: beyond the sea

403 posted on 11/07/2006 6:23:42 PM PST by maineman
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To: Chunga

Fox calls Maryland for Cardin
___

Not shocking..then again there is a record number of absentee ballads in MD this year.


404 posted on 11/07/2006 6:24:25 PM PST by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart

How many of these races are ignoring absentee ballots?


405 posted on 11/07/2006 6:24:31 PM PST by Frank Sheed (T? br?n orainn. N?l Sp?innis againn anseo.)
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To: getmeouttaPalmBeachCounty_FL
What was the tradesports prediction?

I cannot tell you. Some of the folks on this thread do not like reality.

You better check out their analysis for yourself. There are some tender folks here.

406 posted on 11/07/2006 6:24:51 PM PST by beyond the sea ( Either hold your nose a little on Election Day ......... or grab your ankles for the next years)
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To: LS

Barone says FN will not rely on exit polls any more for projections. In other words...they are crap.


407 posted on 11/07/2006 6:25:30 PM PST by Flightdeck
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To: Thumper1960
We can easily forgive a child who is afraid of the dark; the real tragedy of life is when men are afraid of the light.

You afraid of the light?

408 posted on 11/07/2006 6:26:13 PM PST by beyond the sea ( Either hold your nose a little on Election Day ......... or grab your ankles for the next years)
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To: LS

Fox projects Chocola and Northup as losers


409 posted on 11/07/2006 6:26:45 PM PST by Chunga (Conservatives Don't Let Democrats Win Elections. They Vote Republican.)
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To: Flightdeck

Barone says FN will not rely on exit polls any more for projections. In other words...they are crap.

____

Yes but the calls are now using projections from actual results.

Sorry LS, but it looks like you might have had an off night this time around.
:-(((


410 posted on 11/07/2006 6:27:20 PM PST by snarkytart
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To: nopardons
I hate Emeril! Who is on after him?

Hopefully it isn't "Iron Chef", especially the oriental version. They always have some giggling dingbat actress as a judge. "Heheheheh, oh yes, the pig eyeballs mix well with the chicken fat...hehehehhehe"
411 posted on 11/07/2006 6:28:29 PM PST by Jaysun (Let's not ruin this moment with words.)
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To: snarkytart

"Yes but the calls are now using projections from actual results."

The Cardin-Steele call only had 1% reported. I think we all need to wait much longer to see the clear picture.


412 posted on 11/07/2006 6:28:57 PM PST by Flightdeck
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To: TET1968

I guess he just didn't get enough of their vote. The "geniuses" in the media were suggesting that he might get 30% of that vote.


413 posted on 11/07/2006 6:29:09 PM PST by beyond the sea ( Either hold your nose a little on Election Day ......... or grab your ankles for the next years)
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Comment #414 Removed by Moderator

To: beyond the sea

I can't even deal with this. I *need* to know the GOP will be there for our military and my husband. The only thing worst than Pelosi as Speaker is another Clinton in the White House.

I'm going to throw up.

Is Mr. Rove still cheery? Anyone know? Please have him call me if he has any knowledge which can cheer me up right now.


415 posted on 11/07/2006 6:30:35 PM PST by getmeouttaPalmBeachCounty_FL ( **Hunter-Tancredo-Weldon-Hayworth 4 President** I get it, Glenn.)
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To: Flightdeck

1% reported. Well that makes it rock solid then!

/s


416 posted on 11/07/2006 6:31:39 PM PST by Frank Sheed (T? br?n orainn. N?l Sp?innis againn anseo.)
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To: maineman
"And you can kiss it goodbye."

Loved that man. There was a poor little guy named "Radio Rich" who used to hang around the Pirate family. Prince took care of this fellow throughout his life ........ and no one really knew how much Bob had done for him.

Prince was a prince.

Thanks for the picture.

417 posted on 11/07/2006 6:32:23 PM PST by beyond the sea ( Either hold your nose a little on Election Day ......... or grab your ankles for the next years)
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To: snarkytart
I have to believe in LS because the large turnout he keeps talking about is true, then where are all the votes?

He did say one caveat is that the large GOP turnout are VOTES against the GOP!!

418 posted on 11/07/2006 6:33:30 PM PST by PISANO
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To: LS

Unfortunately, I think your thread will go down in infamy as one of the worst predictions...


419 posted on 11/07/2006 6:33:37 PM PST by ruschpa
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To: Frank Sheed

And supposedly Wisconsin just went dem with a 1% reporting and 11% deficit.


420 posted on 11/07/2006 6:33:47 PM PST by Flightdeck
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