[tobyhill]

I was just reading about how pollsters have gotten it so wrong for the past 10 years and it has to do with who and how they call. The pollsters use Automated Random Dialing and may only get 1 out of every 10 calls answered and more than likely will support a Democrat.

1) Ones that support Democrats are more likely to be unemployed and are at home when the pollster call.

2) Republican supporters are less likely to be victims of ID theft because they won't answer questions from people claiming to be pollsters.

3) Republican supporters usually have high speed internet and more likely to have VOIP telephone which numbers are usually not listed in data bases that pollsters use.

4) More Republican supporters use only cell phones than a home phone which are also not in a pollsters data base.

5) Democrat supporters believe there is some sort of benefit following a pollster so they are more likely to tell a pollster what they think they want to hear than a honest answer.

6) The people hired to actually ask the questions are low wage telemarketers that read from a script and the way they ask often influences the way it's answered.

I think the Republicans may lose some seats but it will only be a modest handful mainly due to open seats. I believe a poll done with proper calculations would indicate the President with a 45% approval rating and congress being favored by Dems by a 48% to Republican 46% and 6% it doesn't matter.

[GraniteStateConservative]

3) Republican supporters usually have high speed internet and more likely to have VOIP telephone which numbers are usually not listed in data bases that pollsters use.

4) More Republican supporters use only cell phones than a home phone which are also not in a pollsters data base.

Many pollsters don't use a phone number DB. They have machines that randomly generate phone numbers within an area code and exchange.