Translation: "Every one of these polls is lying because they are oversampling Dems."
Translation: "Every one of these polls is lying because they are oversampling Dems."
Wonder what the sample rate was on the poll showing a tie in the districts the Dems need to win? Is Mehlman essentially saying we have a 3-5 point lead in the seats we need to win?
Watch what the politicians do. The democrat politicians are running as Republicans. That tells you they know they're toast.
Democrats are even trying to make Republicans look like low life democrats! "Don't vote for that Republican! He's too much like a democrat! I'm a democrat, but the best Republican to vote for in this election."
I can't be polled. If I detect a computer pause when I answer the phone, I'm gone. Where do I show up? In the margin of error?
It wasn't clear from Melman's statement if they truly are "oversampling" Dems or if more people are claiming to be Dems, which results in them being sampled more.
Among other pollster tricks, all having the effect and obvious design of boosting the Rats and attempting to discourage GOPers.
This is an ongoing debate in the polling community - should they control for party affiliation? Many (like Gallup) feel that party affiliation is not a fixed thing, and people switch back and forth between calling themselves members of one party or another. That's why you see a lot of insane whipsaws in Gallup. Others, like Rasmussen and Zogby, control for party affiliation.