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Why the GOP Will Win In November
NewsMax ^ | 10/10/2006 | Philip V. Brennan

Posted on 10/11/2006 10:01:51 AM PDT by SirLinksalot

GOP Will Win in November

Philip V. Brennan

Wednesday, Oct. 11, 2006

"Run for the hills, the dam has burst!" was the alarm shouted by the horde of panicked people racing to get out of town ahead of the floodwaters in the famous James Thurber story that ended with someone halting the exodus by asking, "What dam?"

At the moment, we're hearing a similar cry about the coming November 7 congressional elections. This time, according to the media, the barbarian Democratic hordes and a few nervous Nellies in the GOP, it is the Republican dam bursting, ready to wash any number of Republican members of Congress off Capitol Hill.

For the Democrats and their media flunkies it's written in the sands. The raging waters will carry off at the very least 15 Republicans and hand Mrs. Pelosi the House speakership. Some of the more sanguine Democrats even expect the tide to reach the Senate and drown the re-election hopes of six Republicans, thus handing the upper body to the Democrats.

Along with the late Mr. Thurber's character, I am inclined to ask, "What dam?"

Do you mean, for example, the tiny crack in the levee allegedly created by the Mark Foley scandal? If so, as they say in New Yawk, "Forgeddaboutit." The Foley scandal will have an effect in maybe two House races, and that effect may, even in those cases, prove minimal and not decisive.

We are being told by the ever-so-wise media savants that the conservative Republican base is so disturbed by l'affair Foley that they will express their discomfort with the GOP by staying home on Election Day, thereby depriving the Republicans of the electoral muscle they need to win the fight.

Now, there may be a small number of idiots who actually believe they will somehow best serve the conservative cause by putting into power, by their absence at the polls, an assemblage of loony leftists who will turn the Hill in the nation's largest nuthouse, raise their taxes, tie the hands of the president in the middle of a war where the West's very survival is at stake, and advance the cause of socialism that is so dear to their hearts.

At the most, that cadre of discontented conservatives will attract a lot of noise, but because they are the tiniest of minorities and obviously slightly deranged, their protests will fall on deaf ears.

At the moment, however, it is an article of faith among the Democrats' media lackeys that these disgruntled Republicans are a near majority among conservatives and their allies in the so-called religious right, and they will sit on their hands on November 7. In other words, the Republican Party will not be able to get its vote out on Election Day.

Boy, are they in for a surprise!

Whirring away out of sight is the GOP's get-out-the-vote machinery and it's well oiled, its cogs spinning smoothly and ready to produce a record-breaking turnout on November 7. Mr. Rove and his companion Mr. Mehlman have been busy fine-tuning the machinery for over two years, testing it with spectacular results in little-noticed local elections across the nation, and they are ready to roll and drive their troops to the polls.

It is an article of faith among the media elite that the average American voter out there in fly-over country is a dolt, totally incapable of sifting out the political wheat from the political chaff. Only with the guidance of their intellectual and cultural superiors in the media can they possibly make sensible decisions and vote in the ... sniff ... "proper" manner.

The problem for all the pretty boys and leggy blondes at the networks, the elites at the New York Times, the Washington Post and the rest of the socialist media, is that outside of their sheltered enclaves on the East and West Coasts, nobody is listening to them anymore.

We don't have to – we now have Fox Cable, Rush Limbaugh, my gutsy pal Mike Reagan, Laura Ingraham, Ann Coulter, David Limbaugh, Bill O'Reilly and about 600 talk radio hosts, Web sites such as the top-rated NewsMax.com, Lucianne.com and Matt Drudge, and a host of well-researched and well-reported blogs to deliver the truth rather than the phony pap the mainstream media have been feeding us for years.

Thanks to these feisty news sources, residents of the Red States have been able to penetrate the liberal iron curtain and get the facts the liberal mainstream media would, if they could, prevent them from learning. To them, an educated electorate sounds their death knell.

The bottom line is that no matter how hard they try, the media cannot get the American people to believe that their safety would be safer in the hands of the Democrats, that cutting and running in Iraq and exposing the entire Middle East to a certain and bloody catastrophe is a good thing, and that their money is best spent by Nancy Pelosi, Howard Dean and Harry Reid and not by themselves.

November 7 is going to be a battle royal, not easily won, but when the smoke clears, Nancy Pelosi will still be the feckless House minority leader, Harry Reid will remain the leader of the Senate minority, all will be well, and God will be safe in His heavens.

The dam is still standing, with nary a leak.

* * * * * *

Phil Brennan is a veteran journalist who writes for NewsMax.com. He is editor & publisher of Wednesday on the Web (http://www.pvbr.com) and was Washington columnist for National Review magazine in the 1960s. He also served as a staff aide for the House Republican Policy Committee and helped handle the Washington public relations operation for the Alaska Statehood Committee which won statehood for Alaska. He is also a trustee of the Lincoln Heritage Institute and a member of the Association of Former Intelligence Officers.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: gop; november; win
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To: Henry Wilson

"I think I'd like to see the GOP maintain control of the House by 1 vote. 218 to 217. Then the DUmmies will totally flip, having missed the prize by just a single seat."

They'd buy themselves a party flipper....


81 posted on 10/11/2006 11:14:26 AM PDT by Jim Verdolini (We had it all, but the RINOs stalked the land and everything they touched was as dung and ashes!)
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To: dighton

Sorry about that. I meant to reply to the original poster and accidentally clicked on your post. My apologies.


82 posted on 10/11/2006 11:15:16 AM PDT by MikeA (Foley has resigned. Bin Laden has not. That's what's at stake in this election, not some pervert.)
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To: MikeA
No apologies needed!

But if you insist, the first round of champagne is on you when we retake the House and Senate.

;-)

83 posted on 10/11/2006 11:21:03 AM PDT by dighton
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To: SirLinksalot

Denial - its not just a river in Egypt!


84 posted on 10/11/2006 11:21:44 AM PDT by Little Ray (If you want to be a martyr, we want to martyr you.)
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To: Panzerlied

LOL...


85 posted on 10/11/2006 11:22:22 AM PDT by johnny7 (“And what's Fonzie like? Come on Yolanda... what's Fonzie like?!”)
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To: SirLinksalot

20% of voters are politically aware and vote liberal.

20% of voters are politically aware and vote conservative.

60% of voters are politically unaware and tend to vote for the candidate with the most effective ads that they saw at least 8 times in the 10 days prior to the election.

Republicans didn't even start heavy rotation in advertising until after labor day and have a lot of money left to spend. The Foley scandal hit 2 weeks too early to impact the race.

The Democrats might pick up 5 to 8 seats in the house and 2 to 3 in the Senate. The silver lining for Republicans is that we will rid ourselves of a couple of spot light hogging RINOs and the smugness that came with power that has been evident in the last few years will be driven out of others who hang on by the skin of their teeth.


86 posted on 10/11/2006 11:32:18 AM PDT by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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To: SirLinksalot

This must have been written before the AP reported that Harry Reid stole $1M.


87 posted on 10/11/2006 11:40:03 AM PDT by .cnI redruM (Appeasement never works. It only encourages new and escalating demands.)
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To: SirLinksalot

No, I tend to agree mostly with the article. Foley is definitely not a national issue. Besides, it has been said and I agree, all elections are decided at the local level. When I go into the voting booth, I am not thinking at all about Foley, but who will best represent me and my values, where I live.


88 posted on 10/11/2006 11:40:12 AM PDT by rawhide
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To: SirLinksalot
don't you think this article is a little exercise in wishful thinking ?

Why? Are you planning to vote for Dems because Foley is a homo? Do you know any Republican voters who want Nancy Pelosi to be speaker?

As with all those polls on Bush's approval rating, what they don't reveal is how low the public views the Dems, and how unacceptable they are as an alternative. People were mad at the GOP, but were going to vote for them anyway, reluctantly. Now GOP voters are mad at the Dems, and are going to vote against them, eagerly.

89 posted on 10/11/2006 11:40:13 AM PDT by Defiant (Do you realize if the Star Wars creator's last name was Thomas, we would have Tom Skywalker?)
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To: Defiant

Defiant here is some good GOP news:

IL Governor Blagoevich is in deep trouble, his top fundriaser was federally Indicted today for state hiring fraud:

http://www.thecapitolfaxblog.com


90 posted on 10/11/2006 12:00:40 PM PDT by Welike ike
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To: SirLinksalot; smoothsailing

I belive that Diana Irey (R-PA-12) will be the one who has that one vote that keeps the GOP in control. GO IREY !!!


91 posted on 10/11/2006 12:03:27 PM PDT by GitmoSailor
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To: Henry Wilson
If I remember correctly, this happened in California a few ago. The Republicans had a one-seat majority after the elections. So the Democrats sought out a liberal Republican and agreed to vote for them as the leader of the house if they would run. This person ran, all the Democrats supported this person, and because of this, the Democrats had the ruling majority, because their person won. I would not like to see this happen in the US house.
92 posted on 10/11/2006 12:04:49 PM PDT by rawhide
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To: dighton

HaHaHa...I don't drink, but I might be tempted to pop a cork that night!


93 posted on 10/11/2006 12:10:41 PM PDT by MikeA (Foley has resigned. Bin Laden has not. That's what's at stake in this election, not some pervert.)
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To: SirLinksalot

just a little..but I do NOT belive the foley scandal will effect ANYONE:: but Foley:

1) We don't know who 'knew' of Mr. Mark Foley's impropritety. (I am betting a handful fo Democratic bloggers, and aids..),

2) IT WAS FOLEYE THAT WAS ULT RESPONSIBLE (And good ridance..)

3) Conservatives know that Foley is personally responsible for his own actions/not ALL Republicans- My Congressional Rep is just fine, and a great leader, I don't live in Foley's district!

4) This is Dem-Manufactured.., Ploy to create a friction betwween the Rep party and Evangelicals/Conservatives..

It wont work because we know that Mark Foley and his Homsexual tendacies are to blame for this scandal (and the democrats making it a political ploy) won't help either

5) It will be mostly forgotten by Election day,..

6) The Democracts have NO real plan once election's over they're simple the "anti-Republicans"/anti-Bush

7) Democratic voters have been depressed/not energized this year.. (I can see A LOT Democractic voters excited about Nancy Peloci they way they were about Bubba?? (Sarcasm,..of course..)!

8) We Republicans while not as conservative as some would like are Right on the issues (at least more so than the Democrcats generally are..)!

WE'LL WIN! (Maybe not by much, but WE'LL WIN!!).


94 posted on 10/11/2006 12:12:09 PM PDT by JSDude1 (www.pence08.com)
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To: SirLinksalot
Btw, you are aware that we're in the midst of an enormous effort to SUPPRESS THE GOP VOTE, perpetrated by the Dhimmicrat/media ('scuse that redundancy again!), aren't you?

The propaganda that the GOP will lose massively in the congressional elections is intended to demoralize US.

It's a potent weapon. Remember what happened in Florida in the '00 election, when most of the MSM announced, citing exit polls, that Gore had "won Florida"?

That premature announcement that "the election is over -- Gore has won an electoral victory" dissuaded THOUSANDS of Republican voters in the Florida panhandle from voting.

Even Bob Beckel, the Democrat pollster, admits from his own research that Bush lost upwards of 10,000 potential votes in the Florida panhandle due to the media's false information.

You and I might think that nothing would stop us from voting --we'd crawl over broken glass.

But the truth is that the tactic was effective: A decisive contingent of weary voters, on their way home from work (they're Republicans, after all --they work!), upon hearing the "news" that all was lost, decided not to bother waiting through long lines to cast a vote that, according to the media, was going to make no difference anyway.

95 posted on 10/11/2006 12:16:01 PM PDT by shhrubbery! (Max Boot: Joe Wilson has sold more whoppers than Burger King)
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To: SirLinksalot

B-I-N-G-O and Bingo was his name, Oh!


96 posted on 10/11/2006 12:16:59 PM PDT by RockinRight (She rocks my world, and I rock her world.)
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To: Welike ike

Thanks. Can Topinka win with this? Or do they need to indict Blagojevich, too, before that can happen?


97 posted on 10/11/2006 12:37:25 PM PDT by Defiant (Do you realize if the Star Wars creator's last name was Thomas, we would have Tom Skywalker?)
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To: Defiant

D, we will see. The FEDS announced there will be more indictments. Topinka might step up, but what this really does is gives down ticket GOP candidates ammunition to say the IL Dem party is dirty like George Ryan.

This really affects the Bean and Duckworth races who are in GOP districts.

This effectively destroys Blago's career for higher office.


98 posted on 10/11/2006 12:45:29 PM PDT by Welike ike
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To: SirLinksalot

The only thing preventing Republicans from winning is themselves. If they hadn't spent so much, expanded government at the fastest rate since the Johnson administration, proposed amnesty for illegals and failed to secure the border, they would likely, at least, maintain their present majority.


99 posted on 10/11/2006 1:52:53 PM PDT by Ol' Sparky
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To: Henry Wilson
"Then the DUmmies will totally flip, having missed the prize by just a single seat."

The Dems will never allow that to happen. We are forgetting that they are not just counting on scandals but are probably ratcheting up their dead voter turnout like nothing we have ever seen.

Two reasons I say that;
1)It is the midterms and anything less than actual corpses video taped in voting booths would be brushed over by the media. This would happen in a state like PA where they think (know) they have several layers of Clinton holdover judges. Remember Philly has had several documented cases of precints with 119% voter turnout.
2)They have picked several critical states where the gov is a Democrat who would help brush it all into the trash heap of the usual dirty tricks that just get a wink and a nod from the rest of the established political machine.
PA comes to mind where Rendell is the Gov and his wife sits on the State supreme Court!
Additionally the dems control Philly politics and have a huge machine there. Pitt comes in very close to that... but not quite as bad.
Both cities have large minority voter roles, several major universities, and and entrenched union political machines that are as close to the Nazi SA as you can get with out the swastikas and brown uniforms.
Worse the Pubies are role over deal makers who may already have been bribed (pet bill approvals--or worse) or threatened with the wrath of Roundels lies and pre/post election media blasts..
So it will never go down to just one seat. I think the best we can expect is still no blow out but a 2 seat victory for the dems. Better than many expect now but not much and it will still be close enough that every vote will take on critical importance.
100 posted on 10/11/2006 3:38:22 PM PDT by JSteff
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