Rassmussen did a poll on Foleygate. Out of ALL respondents, Democrats and Republicans only 36% felt Hastert should go, 64% either did not or did not care.
Pretty much nukes the "Everyone hates the GOP" story line being spread by Donner Party "Conservatives" now does it not?
Then there is this little gem. HERE is what happened after Watergate, the start of one of the worst recessions in US History and Ford pardoning Nixon. Lutz et al are telling us THIS year is going to be worse. Worse? A booming economy? A scandal no one but the Always Angry care about? A war no where near as unpopular as Vietnam is going to result in WORSE fall out for the GOP then 1974?
http://www.ashbrook.org/publicat/oped/busch/06/1974.html
When the votes were counted, Democratic hopes had been realized. Republicans lost 48 House seats, five Senate seats, and statehouse after statehouse. The Democratic scythe cut most deeply in previously Republican suburbs where concerns about the economy and clean government resonated strongly.
One suspects the Donner Party "Conservatives" are merely HOPING it will be worse. After all these are the clowns who gave us the absurd "Win by losing" dogma of the politically suicidal.
I could certainly be totally off base but I believe his poll is wrong. Also misleading. There is NO question a percentage of America will damn Bush regardless of any facts. Beyond that, the voters Democrats are counting on to not vote is really a fantasy, IMHO.
I just got finished reading this and part of the thread and a few others that claim the Pubbies have lost points and the Dims are up (e.g., might as well stay home Pubbies, the Dims are taking over and Pelosi or Murtha will be the next Speaker). I sure hope that this comes back to bite the bums in the bum.
I found this post quite interesting and think you might, too (it was in the US Democrats Lead After Sex Scandal thread (which, btw is contrary to what Rasmussen found)
Generic Congressional Polls 2004 election cycle:
Battleground 6/20-23: 41 (GOP) - 49 (DUm) - 11 (unsure) +8 DUm
AP/Ipsos 6/17-19: 40 (GOP) - 47 (DUm) - 10 (neither) - 3 (not sure) +7 DUm
CNN/USA/Gallup 7/30 - 8/1: 44 (GOP) - 49 (DUm) - 7 (undecided) +5 DUm
NBC/WSJ 9/17-19: 42 (GOP) - 46 (DUm) - 12 (undecided) +4 DUm
CBS/NYT 7/11-15: 37 (GOP) - 46 (DUm) - 8 (depends) - 9 (don't know) +9 DUm
Time 6/2-4: 37 (GOP) - 49 (DUm) - 4 (other) - 11 (not sure) +12 DUm
Newsweek 7/29-30: 41 (GOP) - 51 (DUm) - 8 (undecided) +10 DUm
LAT 6/5-6/8: 35 (GOP) - 54 (DUm) - 1 (Ind) - 3 (neither) - 7 (unsure) +19 DUm
Democracy Corps 8/2-5: 41 (GOP) - 51 (DUm) - 2 (other) - 6 (not sure) +10 DUm
2004 General Election Results: House +3 GOP / Senate +4 GOP
22 posted on 10/09/2006 6:47:32 PM PDT by 1035rep
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1716573/posts
I also found one earlier during lunch (can't find it right now) that said one of the House incumbents in OR could be in trouble and some of the posts indicate that there are House seats that are flying under the radar - -hope that many of these will be the "November Surprise" ;-)
Also, I suspect it's a long shot, but a 'straw poll' has Harris up in FL - - may be too good to be true, especially since it was at a 'Politics in the Park' function - but it would sure be great if it happened!
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1716433/posts