Now they are saying this bastard will all but stall out for a couple days. Watch out, Virginia.
Yup, probably.
Now they are saying this bastard will all but stall out for a couple days. Watch out, Virginia.
Tropical Storm Ernesto :
Tropical Storm Ernesto Discussion Number 29
Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on August 31, 2006
extensive reconnaissance with both NOAA and Air Force aircraft indicate that the maximum surface winds associated with Ernesto are 60 knots. The central minimum pressure is 991 mb. Satellite and radar presentation show a well defined convective curved band wrapping around an area of deep convection near the center. Ernesto is moving toward the north-northeast at 15 knots and on this track...the cyclone is forecast to reach the coast within the warning area tonight with 60 knots. One can not rule out the possibility a slight strengthening to a category one hurricane at landfall.
Once inland and beyond 36 hours...Ernesto should begin to interact with a frontal system and become extratropical by 48 hours. However...the remnant system is expected to move little and produce heavy rains over portions of the eastern United States.
The combination of Ernesto and a strong high pressure area to the northeast is expected to produce gale force winds from the Delmarva Peninsula northward. However...these winds are not directly associated with the circulation of the tropical cyclone. See products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
Forecast positions and Max winds
initial 31/2100z 32.6n 78.7w 60 kt
12hr VT 01/0600z 34.7n 78.0w 50 kt...inland
24hr VT 01/1800z 37.0n 77.5w 30 kt...inland
36hr VT 02/0600z 38.5n 77.5w 25 kt...extratropical
48hr VT 02/1800z 41.0n 78.5w 25 kt...extratropical
72hr VT 03/1800z...absorbed by a frontal system
$$
forecaster Avila